Where the action is: Saturday's bowl game line moves

Dec 20, 2013 |
College football bowl season kicks off Saturday with four postseason matchups available for betting. We talk to Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag about the action coming in on these games and where the odds could end up come kickoff:

New Mexico Bowl: Washington State at Colorado State – Open: +3.5, Move: +5.5

Washington State is back in bowl season after an extended drought and bettors expect the Cougars to make the most of it, pumping them up as many as two points at some markets. With 86 percent of the action on WSU, this could be the biggest decision of Saturday’s bowl action.

“On December 10, we got sharp play buying a half point on WSU to -3, so we moved to -4,” says Perry. “On Monday, we moved to -5 because of heavy action on WSU. Earlier today moved to -5.5.”

Las Vegas Bowl: Fresno State vs. USC Trojans – Open: -5.5, Move: -6.5

This line has remained relatively steady at most books, however, some have tacked on an extra points with early money on the Trojans. Books keeping this one under the key number of seven has kept balanced action on the Las Vegas Bowl but injury concerns on both sides have bettors on watch.

“Fresno WR Josh Harper is questionable and USC RB Silas Redd will miss the game,” says Perry. “About 64 percent of the cash is backing the Trojans.”

Idaho Potato Bowl: Buffalo Bulls vs. San Diego State Aztecs
– Open: +3.5, Move: -1

This spread is one of the bigger moves of the entire bowl season board, with wiseguy action moving this spread as many as 4.5 points. Sharp money has sided with SDSU since opening and has books worried about this outcome in Idaho due to the frantic pace of the line adjustments.

“Could be a game where the shop loses a good chunk of action because of all the middling opportunities some players have,” says Perry. “Almost split down middle on this game, as 52 percent of money is backing the Aztecs.”

New Orleans Bowl: Tulane vs. UL Lafayette – Open: +1.5, Move: +2.5

With UL Lafayette QB Terrance Broadway expected to miss the New Orleans Bowl, action has picked up on the Green Wave. According to Perry, that announcement and the upgraded statuses of many key Tulane players have money moving this spread.

“Tulane QB Nick Montana, son of the infamous Joe, is probable for game. Green Wave’s leading wideout Ryan Grant is also listed as probable,” he says. “Sixty-three percent of cash is riding the Green Wave.”

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