College cramming: Betting notes for Friday's games

Nov 22, 2012 |
College cramming: Betting notes for Friday's games
A look at some helpful betting notes for Friday's college football action.

-Syracuse is one of the best third-down teams in the country, facing the 77th-ranked 3rd down defense in Temple on Friday. 

-Another Orange note: Cuse is scoring 35.4 points over its past five games (4-1 SU & ATS) compared  to 22.8 points over its first six games (2-4 SU, 1-3-1 ATS). The past five played over the total.

-The lowest total on Friday is Buffalo-Bowling Green at 44. Bowling Green, who has the best defense in the MAC, has a coach who’s worried that last week’s lost to Kent State will mean a hangover this week.  

-South Florida is a mess at QB right now. Senior B.J. Daniels was injured two games ago, ending his season. It was assumed the starting job would fall to freshman Matt Floyd, who was the backup all season. Instead they ripped the redshirt off Bobby Eveld last Friday and he started against Miami this past week. Eveld suffered a separated shoulder in the first quarter and Floyd had to assume the No. 1 role after all. Floyd threw for 175 yards, 0 TDs and 2 INTs in a 40-9 loss to Miami. 

-Mini preview: Kent St. has won nine straight games and covered eight of those. The team wrapped up the MAC East last week and doesn’t have anything on the line this week. Ohio is on a stretch of playing four games in 19 days. Coach Frank Solich said fatigue caught up to the Bobcats in the second half last game when Ball State won that frame 31-10. Ohio has covered only one of its past seven.

-Northern Illinois has won 15 straight conference games, the longest streak in the nation.

-Northern Illinois is a 21-point fave at Eastern Michigan and with a spot clinched in the MAC final next week, you have to wonder how much time super QB Jordan Lynch will see for the Huskies. Especially since NIU lost starting left tackle Tyler Loos last game. It sounds like finishing in the top 25 is important for NIU though, so they are talking like they’re playing to win this game.

-Eastern Michigan switched to a two-quarterback system last game. And the Eagles won their first MAC game of the season, 29-23, over Western Michigan as 14-point underdogs.

-Ball State (9-2 ATS this year) has won and covered in five straight games. Nobody has held the Cards to fewer than 30 points during the streak. They are -7 at Miami (Ohio).

-Sharps pounced on ECU -4.5 and bet the Pirates all the way up to -7 this week. Marshall allows over 40 points per game but the Herd are also coming off a 667-yard offensive performance against Houston last week.

-The highest total on the board Friday is Marshall-ECU at 72 points. Marshall hasn’t seen fewer than 66 points scored in any of its past eight games. (No. 15 total offense, No. 116 scoring defense).

-Washington State made a huge jump from +10 to +13.5 in the Apple Cup on Friday. Wazzou has lost eight straight while Washington has won and covered four in a row.

-Consensus notes:
Bowling Green -10 is the top play (74%) for Friday’s college football action. Northern Illinois-Eastern Michigan is the most popular over play (62%). Central Michigan-UMass is the most popular under play at 53%.

-The Buffalo-Bowling Green game is a neutral site game being played at Columbus Crew Stadium, which holds about 24,000 (though no info on how many tickets sold). BG hopes to use it as a recruiting opportunity.

-Temple, West Virginia and Colorado rank 117, 119 and 120 respectively in the nation in pass efficiency defense. All three play Friday.

-Iowa State won’t announce who is starting at QB before Friday’s game. Freshman Sam Richardson came on in relief of regular starter Steele Jantz last game and threw for 250 yards and four TDs in a 51-23 win over Kansas as 3.5-point faves. It was the best offensive output for the Cyclones this season by two TDs.

-The 4-7 Utes end a nine-year streak of playing in bowl games, but they are playing for a little something against Colorado. Running back John White needs 127 yards to become the first Ute to have back-to-back 1,000-yard rushing seasons. The Buffs rank 116th in the nation against the run. 

-Colorado is playing for a win to avoid its worst season in school history. If the Buffs don’t win, it will also be the first time since 1920 they didn't win a game at home.

-Buffalo plowed over UMass using a power running game last week (though UMass barely hung on to cover). “I’m not blind to the fact that Central (Michigan) is going to try to do the same thing,” said UMass coach Charley Molnar. CMU has a downhill runner in Zurlon Tipton, who’s rushed for over 1,200 yards and has 16 TDs this year.

-West Virginia is seeing a lower total than it has seen in any of its seven games (68.5). The Mountaineers haven’t allowed fewer than 39 in any of those seven games and they have the second worst scoring defense in the nation with 42.3 points against per game.

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