Sunday's NFL Week 4 betting cheat sheet: Early action

Sep 28, 2013 |
Sunday's NFL Week 4 betting cheat sheet: Early action
The Chiefs have not turned the ball over through their first three games.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
The Chiefs have not turned the ball over through their first three games.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (+3, 44.5)

After a disastrous season-opening shellacking, the Baltimore Ravens are making strides toward resembling the team that hoisted the Lombardi Trophy earlier this calendar year. The Ravens look to build off a pair of dominating defensive efforts on Sunday when they visit western New York to face the Buffalo Bills.

The Bills' backfield survived a scare as talented rusher C.J. Spiller has been a full participant in practice despite tweaking his quad in last week's 27-20 loss to the New York Jets. To add insult to injury, the Bills were unable to capitalize on 20 penalties en route to suffering their second loss to an AFC East rival.

LINE: Baltimore opened as a 3-point road fave. The total opened at 44 and is now up to 44.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Baltimore (-1.5) + Buffalo (+6.0) + home field (-3.0) = Buffalo +4.5
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s. Wind will blow across the field at 9 mph.

* Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last four games in Week 4.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1, 40)

Larry Fitzgerald found the going tough last weekend - and he may be in for an even rougher ride against Tampa Bay. The veteran WR fought through a hamstring injury to haul in five passes for 64 yards against the Saints, but had just six targets on the afternoon as QB Carson Palmer struggled with the revamped New Orleans pass defense. Fitzgerald says he's close to 100 percent - and he'll need to be against Buccaneers defensive back Darrelle Revis.

Rookie Mike Glennon will line up under center Sunday afternoon as the winless Buccaneers shake things up against the visiting Arizona Cardinals. Head coach Greg Schiano made the decision to switch quarterbacks after Josh Freeman struggled for a third consecutive week in a 23-3 defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots.

LINE: The Bucs opened -2.5 but are currently -1. The total opened at 40.5 and is now 40.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Arizona (+4.5) - Tampa Bay (+4.5) + home field (-3.0) = Buccaneers -3.0
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.

* Under is 7-0 in Buccaneers last seven games overall.
* Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. loss.
* Under is 7-2 in Cardinals last nine games in September.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Minnesota Vikings (+3, 41.5)

Ben Roethlisberger put the game on his shoulders last week against Chicago and ended up throwing two interceptions and losing a pair of fumbles in the 40-23 loss. Roethlisberger caused a minor stir with comments on his radio show about rookie running back Le’Veon Bell’s toughness but quickly backtracked and is hoping Bell (foot) can add another dimension to the offense when he makes his expected NFL debut.

Quarterback Christian Ponder struggled to take advantage of defenses crowding the line to stop RB Adrian Peterson and a fractured rib suffered last week opened the door for Matt Cassel to start in his place.

LINE: The Vikings opened as 1-point dogs and are now +3. The total is 41.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Steelers (+4.5) - Vikings (+5.0) = Steelers -0.5
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with overcast skies.

* Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in Steelers last five games overall.
* Vikings are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 4.

New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 43.5)

Eli Manning has tossed a league-high eight interceptions - although a patchwork offensive line contributed in his getting sacked an alarming seven times last week. The two-time Super Bowl-winning quarterback's troubles fell on deaf ears as wideout Hakeem Nicks bristled that "(he) can't throw it to myself" after seeing just one pass attempt sail in his direction last week.

The Kansas City Chiefs have made themselves at home at the expense of the NFC East. The undefeated Chiefs vie for their third consecutive victory against a representative from that division on Sunday when they host the winless New York Giants. After edging Dallas in Week 2, coach Andy Reid's club cruised to a convincing 26-16 triumph over his former one in Philadelphia on Sept. 19.

LINE: KC opened as a 4-point home fave. The total opened at 44 and is down to 43.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Giants (+4.0) + Chiefs (-1.0) + home field (-3.0) = Chiefs -8.0
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s.

* Giants are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Under is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings.

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (+9.5, 42.5)

The Colts suddenly have one of the top backfield duos in the league with Ahmad Bradshaw (186 rushing yards) and Trent Richardson, who scored a touchdown in his first carry for Indianapolis last week. The defense was solid, if unspectacular, in the first two games but flexed its muscles against San Francisco, allowing only 254 total yards and forcing two turnovers.

Jacksonville will have Blaine Gabbert back under center after missing two games with a cut on his throwing hand. "The last couple of weeks have kind of been a blessing in disguise, to let my hand heal," Gabbert told reporters. "It gave me a different point of view and an opportunity to watch things from a different perspective."

LINE: The line opened with the Jags +9.5. The total is 42.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Colts (-1.0) + Jags (+9.0) + home field (-3.0) = Jags +7.0
WEATHER: There is a 20 percent chance of rain and wind will blow toward the south endzone at 11 mph.

* Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 4-0 in Colts last four road games.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans (+1, 41.5)

Seattle is riding a top-notch defense that leads the NFL in scoring defense (9.0) and total defense (241.7 yards) and also has forced 10 turnovers. Quarterback Russell Wilson tied his career high with four touchdown passes in a romp over Jacksonville and has six overall while completing 64.4 percent of his passes.

Houston’s 21-point loss to Baltimore included a franchise-record 14 penalties, zero offensive touchdowns scored and allowing the Ravens to record one defensive and one punt-return touchdown. Quarterback Matt Schaub has thrown for 838 yards and six touchdowns but running back Arian Foster (190 yards, one score) has yet to hit his stride.

Houston opened as a 3-point home dog and is now +1. The total opened at 44 and is now 41.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Seahawks (-8.0) - Texans (-4.0) + home field (-3.0) = Texans +1.0

* Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
* Texans are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 4.
* Under is 8-1 in Seahawks last nine games in September.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+3.5, 42.5)

Cincinnati's defense, which hasn't allowed a 300-yard passer in the past 17 games, frustrated Aaron Rodgers last week. The Bengals limited Rodgers to 244 yards passing and picked him off twice but they still surrendered 30 straight points in the bizarre contest.

Making just his second career start in his fifth NFL season, Brian Hoyer threw for 321 yards and three touchdowns to tight end Jordan Cameron as the Browns rallied past the Vikings a week ago. Josh Gordon was brilliant in his return from a two-game suspension, catching 10 passes for 146 yards, but Willis McGahee provided little help on the ground in rushing for nine yards on eight carries.

LINE: The Bengals opened as 5-point road faves but are now +3.5. The total opened at 41 and is now 42.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Bengals (-2.5) + Browns (+4.5) + home field (-3.0) = Browns +4.0
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 30 percent chance of rain.

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Cleveland.
* Underdog is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings
* Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. AFC.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
(-3, 47.5)

The Chicago Bears can seize early control of the NFC North Division when they carry an unbeaten record into Detroit on Sunday. With a win, Chicago would have a two-game lead in the division at the quarter pole of the season. The Bears enter with loads of momentum after a 40-23 rout at Pittsburgh on Sunday night in their first road contest of the season.

Lion RB Reggie Bush told reporters this week that he expects to be ready to play Sunday after missing Week 3 with a sprained left knee. Without Bush in the fold, Joique Bell ran 20 times for just 63 yards for the league's 26th-ranked rushing attack, but he did haul in four catches for 69 yards.

LINE: The Lions opened as 2.5-point home faves and are now -3. The total opened at 48 and is down to 47.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Bears (-3.0) + Lions (0.0) + home field (-3.0) = Pick

* Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. NFC North.
* Over is 5-0 in Bears last five games overall.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

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