Kentucky Derby betting: Horse-by-horse preview and picks

May 3, 2013 |
Kentucky Derby betting: Horse-by-horse preview and picks
A 19-horse field will race in the 139th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
A 19-horse field will race in the 139th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Two trail blazers will try to make history in Saturday's Kentucky Derby. Rosie Napravnik rides Mylute trying to become the first woman to win the race and Kevin Krigger looks to become the first African-American jockey to win the Run for the Roses in over a century.

Here's a look at Saturday's 19-horse field and the Kentucky Derby odds after the No. 1 horse, Black Onyx, was scratched:

2. Oxbow (Jockey-G. Stevens) 30-1

Ran a dismal fifth as the second choice in the Arkansas Derby. Lacked the gate speed and really didn't close well either.

3. Revolutionary (C. Borel) 10-1

Three-time Kentucky Derby winner Calvin Borel makes this one a legitimate threat. Revolutionary has won three straight, including a gritty effort in the Louisiana Derby.

4. Golden Soul (R. Albarado) 50-1

Had a rough trip finishing fourth in the Louisiana Derby. Is a hard-working colt but barely drew into the field and doesn’t figure to be in the mix.

5. Normandy Invasion (J. Castellano) 12-1

All the signs point to a major effort from this one. He’s in fine form and Castellano chose to ride him over Revolutionary.

6. Mylute (R. Napravnik) 15-1

Reunited with Napravnik, who was aboard in Mylute's last win in an allowance race at Fair Grounds, he was heavily raced as a two year old. Trainer Tom Amoss said he lacks the killer instinct but he's been improving and a threat to hit the board.

7. Giant Finish (J. Espinoza) 50-1

Figures to be the longest shot on the board. Didn't have the speed to take the lead at 23-1 in a Grade III event last time out. Pass.

8. Goldencents (K. Krigger) 5-1

How's this for a daily double? Louisville coach Rick Pitino will try to become the first coach to win an NCAA basketball title and the Kentucky Derby in the same year. Trainer Doug O'Neill won the race last year with I'll Have Another.

9. Overanalyze (R. Bejarano) 15-1

Was a bit rank in winning the Arkansas Derby and had to survive a claim of foul in the race but it was still an impressive performance.

10. Palace Malice (M. Smith) 20-1

Could move up on an off track. He’s bred for the distance and has worked well. By Curlin and adds blinkers. He’ll get a call at some time in the race.

11. Lines of Battle (R. Moore) 30-1

Trained in Ireland by Aidan O'Brien, he’s shown he can get the distance but he’s loaded with so many other variables. Has never raced on dirt and has run just once this year.

12. Itsmyluckyday (E. Trujillo) 15-1

Has the second-best Beyer speed figure in the race and was a solid second to favorite Orb in the Florida Derby. Figures to be there, maybe second.

13. Falling Sky (L. Saez) 50-1

After relinquishing the lead in the Arkansas Derby, this one dug back in and reclaimed the edge before fading in the stretch. Figures to set the pace again here.

14. Verrazano (J. Velazquez) 4-1

One of five horses trainer Todd Pletcher will saddle in the race. No horse that didn’t run as a two year old has won the Kentucky Derby since 1882, but Verrazano has won all four of his starts including a game effort as the well-bet favorite in the Wood Memorial.

15. Charming Kitten (E. Prado) 20-1

The fact that this one has never run on a dirt track before raises a red flag. Works weren't bad but there are too many questions to recommend.

16. Orb (J. Rosario) 7-2

Shug McGaughey star was installed as the morning-line favorite after winning each of his three races this season. Has the hottest jockey in the sport aboard and, while the post is unfavorable, his workouts are certainly sharp. McGaughey has never won the Kentucky Derby and said if his horse can get a clean trip to the first turn he can win it. If...

17. Will Take Charge (J. Court) 20-1

Trainer D. Wayne Lukas last won the Kentucky Derby with Charismatic in 1999. Has the game passed him by? The No. 17 horse has never won the Derby.

18. Frac Daddy (V. Lebron) 50-1

Was no match for Overanalyze in the Arkansas Derby despite a good run toward the front. The added distance in the Kentucky Derby could prove costly.

19. Java's War (J. Leparoux) 15-1

Has tactical speed but may choose to unleash his solid stretch run here. Has won three of his seven races and was a fine second to Verrazano in the Tampa Bay Derby.

20. Vyjack (G. Gomez) 15-1

Colt has been under 24-hour surveillance after three of trainer Rudy Rodriguez's horses have tested positive for a banned substance in the past year. He must be related to A-Rod. Vyjack doesn't have the pedigree.

Picks: Orb, Itsmyluckyday, Normandy Invasion

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