MLB's best bet meets one of the worst when Red Sox visit Jays

Apr 30, 2013 |
The best bet in baseball collides with the one of the worst when the Boston Red Sox visit the Toronto Blue Jays for three games this week.

The Red Sox, who lead the American League East with an 18-8 record, have made +8.75 units ($875 for $100 bettors) for Boston bettors – most in the major leagues. The Blue Jays’ revamped roster has limped out to a 10-17 start and has burned backers for -9.84 units, second lowest in the majors after winning Game 1 of this series, 9-7 as +102 home underdogs, Tuesday.

Oddsmakers have Toronto set as a +124 home underdog for Game 2 Wednesday. The Jays send LHP Mark Buehrle to the mound to face Boston (-134) and RHP Clay Buchholz.

Both clubs flirted with betting milestones heading into Game 1. Despite losing Tuesday, Boston has posted its most profitable April of the past 14 years, topping the +7.55 units it earned by going 15-6 in April 2004. The Red Sox would go on to win the World Series that fall. Boston has a combined record of 219-149 in April since 1999, winning +27.70 units for BoSox bettors.

Toronto, on the other hand, avoided handing its faithful their worst start to the season since burning -10.85 units (7-15) in April 2004 with the win Tuesday. The Blue Jays have a combined record of 181-201 in April over the past 14 seasons, costing bettors -29.06 units in that span.

The biggest reason behind the drastic difference in payouts this season is the expectations for the AL East entering the season. Toronto was tabbed as a +175 favorite to win the division after adding some big-name talent this offseason while Boston was priced at +600, coming off a 69-93 2012 campaign in which it was the worst bet in the league at -36.85 units.

Sportsbooks have adjusted those futures, moving the Red Sox to +240 to win the AL East and discounting the Jays to +350.

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