NFL road teams, Under profitable in third meetings

Jan 17, 2014 |
The San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks will meet for the third time this season when the NFC West rivals butt heads in the NFC Championship Game Sunday.

A trilogy of games is not that uncommon, with football bettors witnessing one three-part series already this postseason between the San Diego Chargers and Denver Broncos in the AFC Divisional Round.

The Chargers lost 24-17 to the Broncos but, thanks to a recovered onside kick and a field goal, the Bolts managed to cover as 8-point road underdogs - a trend that is rounding into form over the last 10 seasons.

Home teams are just 7-7 SU and 5-9 ATS in the third meeting between NFL teams since the 2004-05 season. Favorites have fared a little better, going 9-5 SU and 7-7 ATS in that span. The Seahawks sit as 3.5-point home favorites for Sunday’s game.

And for those thinking that familiarity leans toward the defense, you may be on to something. Teams have posted a 6-8 O/U record in their third installment in that 10-year frame, including San Diego and Denver playing Under the 55-point total last weekend.

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