English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Aug 30, 2013 |
This round of fixtures in the Barclays Premier League marks the last before one of those pesky international breaks. Saturday features six matchups, including a Manchester City side that will look to bounce back after an humiliating defeat to Cardiff one week ago.

We talk to Aron Black at Bet365 to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.

Manchester City v Hull City (-600, +750, +1800)

Why bet Man City: The Citizens are a tough side to beat at home and are unbeaten in 36 of the last 38 Premier League matches played at the Etihad. Manuel Pellegrini will look for a big bounce-back game from his side after a bad loss at newly-promoted Cardiff. The back four will be bolstered by the return  of CB Matija Nastasic, who should get the start with Vincent Kompany ruled out.

Key players out/doubtful: Vincent Kompany, Stevan Jovetic, Micah Richards

Why bet Hull City: Even though the Tigers are flying high after a tidy 1-0 victory over Norwich one week ago, they will be in tough in Manchester. They will be without the services of Yannick Sagbo, who picked up a red card in the victory over Norwich.

Key players out/doubtful: Yannick Sagbo, Stephen Quinn, Abdoulaye Faye

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Manchester City have not lost back-to-back Premier League matches since October of 2010.

Cardiff v Everton (+250, +240, +125)

Why bet Cardiff: It can't get much better for the Bluebirds who defeated Man City 3-2 last week in front of the home faithful. The environment will be electric once again in Wales as they face Everton and will look to make it back-to-back home wins in top-flight football for the first time since 1962.

Key players out/doubtful: Andreas Cornelius

Why bet Everton: It's been a whimper out of the gate for Everton and new boss Roberto Martinez who have managed a pair of draws after their first two matches. The Toffees are coming off a less-than-stellar performance in a 0-0 draw versus West Brom one week ago. Surely the blue half of Liverpool needs some closure on the Marouane Fellaini and Leighton Baines narrative so it can move forward.

Key players out/doubtful: Antolin Alcaraz, Darron Gibson

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Everton have not won in their previous nine away games in the Premier League.

Where the action is: "Cardiff have added some much needed quality, and had a great result last weekend, which is apparent in the price for this weekend, but if Fellaini and Baines are in the lineup for Saturday, which remains to be seen, I would expect a rush of money on Everton to take the three points."

Newcastle v Fulham (+115, +240, +275)

Why bet Newcastle: It hasn't been the best of starts for Newcastle who have managed one point from two matches and have a plethora of players doubtful for the weekend. The Magpies clearly need more from their attacking players as they've mustered just one shot on target through two games and are still awaiting their first goal.

Key players out/doubtful: Ryan Taylor, Michael Williamson, Steven Taylor, Jonás Gutiérrez, Loïc Remy, Massadio Haidara

Why bet Fulham: The Cottagers were victorious away from home on opening weekend when they defeated Sudnerland. They are coming off a tough loss versus Arsenal last week but striker Darren Bent got off the mark with his first goal of the season. Fulham can look threatening going forward and could strike on the counter with the likes of Berbatov, Ruiz, Taarabt and Bent in the side.

Key players out/doubtful:
Fernando Amorebieta, Kieran Richardson, Maarten Stekelenburg

2012-13 fixture result: Newcastle United 1, Fulham 0

Key betting note: The home team has won the last five Premier League meetings between Newcastle and Fulham.

Norwich v Southampton (+190, +230, +163)

Why bet Norwich: Following a decent performance in a draw with Everton on the opening weekend, the Canaries were disappointing in a defeat to Hull last week. New signings Leroy Fer and Ricky van Wolfswinkel have both looked quite good for the side early in the campaign. Norwich play well at home and are unbeaten in nine of their last 10 home games in the League.

Key players out/doubtful: Gary Hooper, Elliott Bennett

Why bet Southampton: The Saints have looked very good thus far with one win and one draw and sit sixth in the table. The players seem to be responding to manager Mauricio Pochettino's approach to the game
and the club has made some savvy purchases to fit the Argentine's style of play. The Saints will be flying high and look to continue their excellent start.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

2012-13 fixture result: Noriwch 0, Southampton 0

Key betting note: Four of the last six meetings between these two clubs have ended as a draw.

Where the action is: "This one is hard to figure out, given the Saints weren’t great away from home last year, and Norwich are a very respectable home side. Both teams have made much needed additions, but the prices say that the Saints are looking good under manager Pochettino, however, its hard to justify the price of +163 away."

West Ham v Stoke (-105, +250, +333)

Why bet West Ham: Tidy defending has fueled a good start to the campaign for the Hammers. They have not conceded a goal yet and look good to get on score sheet at home as they've scored at least two in six of their last seven home matches. Stoke, on the other hand, are abysmal away from home.

Key players out/doubtful: Alou Diarra, Andy Carroll, Joey O'Brien

Why bet Stoke: Stoke is healthy and have a win to their credit early in the season as they defeated Crystal Palace one week ago. Despite Mark Hughes coming in as the new coach, the Stoke City approach to football has not changed. They still play the long ball and average 25 aerial duels won per game, which is good enough for third in Europe.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

2012-13 fixture result: West Ham 1, Stoke 1

Key betting note: West Ham has two wins and two draws in its last four Premier League matches versus Stoke.

Crystal Palace v Sunderland (+160, +230, +200)

Why bet Crystal Palace: A tough start to the season for the Eagles as they have two defeats to show for their efforts. Momentary lapses have led to their defeats as they conceded a penalty to Tottenham in the opening week and conceded two goals in a five minute span one week ago versus Stoke. They will be hungry for three points and home to Sunderland is a good place to start.

Key players out/doubtful: Patrick McCarthy, Jonathan Parr, Glenn Murray, Jerome Thomas, Yannick Bolasie, Lewis Price

Why bet Sunderland:
Sunderland jumped out to the early lead last week following Emanuele Giaccherini's goal versus Southampton, but ended 1-1. Giaccherini looks to be on the better buys of the season and has been excellent for the Black Cats early on. Jozy Altidore must start contributing if Sunderland are to start winning games, however.

Key players out/doubtful: Wes Brown, Phillip Bardsley, Stéphane Sessegnon, Lee Cattermole

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Sunderland's previous five Premier League matches.

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