College football odds: Week 11 opening line report

Nov 3, 2013 |
College football odds: Week 11 opening line report
The Oregon Ducks open as 14-point favorites at Stanford in Week 11.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
The Oregon Ducks open as 14-point favorites at Stanford in Week 11.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Offensive fireworks will come early in Week 11.

A pair of Thursday night games feature the two highest-scoring offenses in the land in each tilt.

The first of which is a huge Pac-12 affair between the Stanford Cardinal (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) and the unbeaten and explosive Oregon Ducks (8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS).

The Ducks are second in the nation averaging 55.6 points per game and are yet to be tested. Lost amid the flurry of hype around the offense, is a very solid defensive unit that is seventh in points against at 16.9.

They are coming off a bye week and disposed of UCLA with relative ease 42-14 on Oct. 26.

The Cardinal are in the midst of a great season in their own right, with just one hiccup at Utah along the way.

They too are coming off a bye week after taming Sean Mannion and the Oregon State offense with a 20-12 victory on Oct. 26.

Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, knows that despite the high-octane offense, Oregon will be tested by a tough Cardinal defense.

"Stanford has the defense but can only hope to slow Oregon down here and there," Korner told Covers. "Our range was from Oregon -10.5 to -15. We had requests for this game last week and we put out Oregon -14. After looking at it again, we kept the same number."

Oklahoma Sooners at Baylor Bears (-16)

The "other" Thursday matchup featuring a score-at-will offense is this Big 12 tilt in Waco, TX.

The Bears (7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS) boast the highest-scoring offense around, tallying an astronomical 63.9 points per game.

Not just another team coming off a bye week, but a team that put up a massive victory in their last effort. The Bears rocked the Kansas Jayhawks 59-14 on Oct. 26.

Save for a disappointing loss in the Red River Rivalry, the Sooners (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) have put together an excellent season. The Sooners haven't been kind to their backers of late, however, as they are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games.

"When it comes to Baylor, I usually just go with the highest number. This time I settled for Baylor -16," says Korner. "As always, you're asking any team Baylor plays to pick up their scoring. Because Oklahoma can compete (and win straight up), we do have some respect for them."

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines (-6)

A tough loss for Wolverines (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) on the weekend as in-state rival Michigan State easily outplayed them en route to the 29-6 victory.

Nebraska (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) bounced back from a loss at Minnesota on Oct. 26 with a victory over Northwestern. The Huskers should count their blessings, however, as the win came as a result of a Hail Mary as the clock hit zeroes. It was the second-straight game which the Huskers failed to cover.

Korner and his team of oddsmakers were all on the same page for this bringing similar numbers to the table.

"We had a range from Michigan -5 to -7 and that made it easy to stick a -6 as our send out," confirms Korner. "This game could go either way and we don't suspect a lot of movement with this line from where it opens."

LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-14)

The top defense in the nation will be tested by one of the more potent offenses in the land in this batle of SEC heavyweights.

This will be a test for 'Bama (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) as a win here puts them on the cusp of an unbeaten season heading into the Bowl games. They have a pair of easy games (Mississippi State, Chattanooga) before closing the season at the Auburn Tigers.

LSU (7-2 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) would love to play spoiler for the Tide's unbeaten aspirations. At 40.2 points per game, the Tigers are 16th in the nation in scoring, but both of their defeats have come on the road this season.

Korner and his team all brought double-digit spreads to the table and settled on -14.

"We had Alabama -12, -14 and -16 so we put out -14, right in the middle," states Korner. "'Bama fans will think that's too low and LSU fans should drool with two TD's to start."

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