Where the action is: Late NCAA tournament line moves

Mar 22, 2013 |
Some late upsets on Thursday’s opening schedule has March Madness spreading through the sportsbooks and lines for Friday’s 16 NCAA tournament games on the move. We take a look at the late line movement heading into today’s tipoff:

Albany Great Danes vs. Duke Blue Devils – Open: -17.5, Move: -19

Bettors were a bit cautious with big spreads during Thursday’s games, especially with Gonzaga nearly getting knocked off outright. But, money is coming in on the No. 2 Blue Devils, pumping up their opening-game spread a few points before the 12:15 p.m. ET tipoff.

According to CarbonSports.ag, 92 percent of action on this game is siding with Duke.

Pacific Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes – Open: -13, Move: -12, Move: -14

Early action came in on the Tigers, trimming this spread a full point at some books before bettors jumped on the No. 2 Hurricanes and pushed the line to as high as -14 in Nevada. That flood of action is a mix of sharp and public money on Miami. About 90 percent of the bets in this one are on the Canes.

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini – Open: Pick, Move: -2, Move: Pick

Bettors were drawn to the Illini out of the gate, bumping this spread off the fence and as high as Illinois -2. However, sharp money is coming in on Colorado and taking this spread back the other way. There is a slight lean in action towards the Buffs, with 54 percent of the wagers on Colorado.

The Pac-12 started the tournament off on the right foot, with No. 12 Cal, No. 6 Arizona and No. 12 Oregon all winning straight up and ATS Thursday.

Villanova Wildcats vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
– Open: 141, Move: 143.5

The total and spread are on the rise. Over bettors have lifted the number as high as 143.5 points at some markets and sharp action on the Tar Heels is pushing the spread to -4.5. North Carolina was playing its best basketball in the ACC tournament while Villanova had to bite its nails on Selection Sunday. According to CarbonSports.ag, 79 percent of action is on UNC.

Florida Gators vs. Northwestern State Demons – Open: 140, Move: 142

Florida has the third-ranked defense in the land but has had trouble scoring the basketball in recent weeks. They face Northwestern State, which finished the season as the top scoring team in the country – 81 points per game. That’s enough to convince over bettors to push this total up two points since Sunday. There is a slight edge to the over, with 64 percent of total bettors taking the over.

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
– Open: Pick, Move: -1.5, Move: Pick

This No. 7 vs. No. 10 matchup could be the most entertaining game of the Round of 64. Both teams can live and die beyond the 3-point line. Early money bought into Notre Dame, moving this spread off a pick’em. But late action on the Cyclones has returned this line to its original post and could end up flipping the favorite before the 9:45 p.m. ET tipoff. According to oddsmakers, 62 percent of bets are on ISU.

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