Check out a few of the number fluctuations as we head toward the mid-point of the NFL season, with the help of Aron Black of bet365.com and Vegas handicapper extraordinaire Teddy Covers.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers
Consensus open: Packers -16
We’re right back where we started from, for the most part. A few outliers had the line pretty thin at opening (12.5 at betonline.ag), but now everyone is pretty much on board at 15.5 or 16.
“It’s not unusual to see books shave a few points off on lines 14 or above,” notes Teddy, who himself figured the line for 18.
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Consensus open: Cowboys -1.5
Move: Giants -2
At bet365.com, heavy New York money has flipped the numbers.
“Dallas,” says Black, “is being swerved bi time. Amazing how things have changed for these teams since Week 1 (Cowboys got 3.5 and won outright.)”
New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos
Consensus open: Broncos -5.5
Move: Broncos -6
“Denver has taken in some money,” says Teddy, “but nothing massive. Wouldn’t be shocked to see a move toward New Orleans as we get closer to kickoff.”
New England Patriots vs. St. Louis Rams (London)
Consensus open: Patriots -6.5
Move: Patriots -7
Black reports heavy interest among British bettors in this game. The Patriots made the trip over the ocean a few years ago and crushed Tampa Bay, so bettors on the island may remember that and the number was driven up that important extra half-point.