Where the action is: NFL mid-week line moves

Oct 23, 2013 |
The NFL Week 8 odds have been on the board for a few days now, and early action has already dictated some major moves. We talk to Aron Black of Bet365.com and Russ Candler of UWin.com about the notable adjustments in our NFL mid-week line moves:

Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders
– Open: +3, Move: +2.5

The Steelers seem to have it figured out, winning back-to-back games after starting the season 0-4. However, early action has faded Pittsburgh traveling across the country to Oakland in Week 8, pushing this spread below the key number of a field goal.

There are numerous injuries to the Steelers coming off a hard-fought game against rival Baltimore, but despite the move to 2.5, Steelers money is outnumbering Raiders action 2/1.

“It's a tough road game for Pittsburgh but they get the nod on odds as they have the more solid setup, and the QB edge,” Black tells Covers. “As long as Dick LeBeau runs the defense, they will always be tough to score against for a young quarterback like Pryor.”

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs – Open: -9.5, Move: -7, Move: -8.5

The Cleveland Browns drew the early action against a Chiefs squad that isn’t as good as its undefeated record would lead you to believe, trimming the opening line as many as 2.5 points at some books. Then, Cleveland announced it would go with veteran Jason Campbell under center, tacking a point on the spread.

“The Browns might have a top defense but when Jason Campbell if your starting quarterback, how are you going to score against what might be the league's best defense?," says Candler. "The -7.5 is what everyone wants to be on and it won't be long before the line shifts to -8.5.”

New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals
– Open: -6.5, Move: -7

Are the Jets destined for a letdown after their controversial overtime win against New England? Some books have moved to a touchdown with this spread. Cincinnati stumbled a bit to start the year but has strung together three straight wins. However, books are wondering how much of a hole the injury to star CB Leon Hall will leave.

“Maybe the 6.5 looks good on New York for some,” says Black. “Action so far is split, but there are more siding with the points than the Cincy cover at about a 2/1 clip so far. The bulk of money is still to come and we will see Cincinnati action as the week goes on.”

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings – Open: +9.5, Move: +10, Move: +9

The Packers limp into this NFC North rivalry without many of Aaron Rodgers’ top targets. James Jones, Jermichael Finley, and Randall Cobb are all out with injuries.

The Vikings, on the other hand, looked terrible under new QB Josh Freeman in a loss to New York on Monday Night Football. Freeman reportedly suffered a head injury, leaving Christian Ponder as the likely Week 8 starter. Action on Green Bay is eclipsing money on Minnesota at a 3/1 rate.

“Green Bay has lost some very good receivers, but running back Eddie Lacy is giving Aaron Rodgers a solid run game the last three games to balance the attack,” says Black.

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams - Open: +10.5, Move: +12

This line has climbed as high as Rams +12 at some markets with the news that St. Louis QB Sam Bradford is out for the remainder of the season. The Rams had a hard enough time scoring with their star passer in, but now take on Seattle's smothering defense with Kellen Clemens making the calls at the line.

"How anyone can take St Louis this week against the Seahawks is beyond me, especially when Bradford is done for the year," says Candler. "That said, we might find out just how much he sucks if his replacement has a decent game."

Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View