Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

Oct 17, 2013 |
Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action
Clemson QB Tajh Boyd leads the ACC with 1,783 passing yards.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Clemson QB Tajh Boyd leads the ACC with 1,783 passing yards.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Check out our NCAAF Top 25 cheat sheet for Saturday's afternoon action.

Washington Huskies at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3.5, 67.5)

Huskies RB Bishop Sankey (899 rushing yards, 10 total touchdowns) has rushed for 100 or more yards in nine of his last 11 games after scampering for 167 yards and two scores against Oregon. Senior quarterback Keith Price has passed for 1,576 yards and 12 touchdowns and needs 110 yards to pass Jake Locker (7,639 from 2007-10) for second place on the school’s all-time passing yardage list.

The Sun Devils defense has experienced numerous struggles while allowing 27.2 points per game and senior defensive tackle Will Sutton has just 2.5 tackles for loss and one sack this season after having 23.5 tackles for loss and 13 sacks in his monstrous 2012 campaign.

LINE: The Sun Devils opened as -3 faves. The total opened at 65.5 and has gone up to 67.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with clear skies.

* Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings in Arizona State.
* Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.

LSU Tigers at Mississippi Rebels (+9.5, 60)

The Tigers had eight defensive players selected in the 2013 NFL draft, but the young unit hasn't yielded a touchdown in six quarters. As the defense continues to gel, the Tigers - led by quarterback Zach Mettenberger (66.7 percent completion rate, 15 touchdowns, two interceptions) - are 15th in the nation in scoring at 41.4 points under offensive coordinator Cam Cameron.

The Rebels will be without several key players including linebacker Serderius Bryant (concussion) and his team-leading 55 tackles, and freshman Robert Nkemdiche (hamstring), who has started every game either at defensive end or defensive tackle. Running back Jeff Scott, a 5-7, 167-pound senior who leads the team with 434 yards, is questionable after leaving the Texas A&M game with a thigh bruise.

LINE: LSU opened -8 and is now -10. The total opened at 60.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s. Wind will blow across the field at 5 mph.

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Mississippi.
* Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
* Road team is 14-2 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

Iowa State Cyclones at Baylor Bears (-33, 76.5)

The Cyclones might be one of the best 1-4 teams in the country, but face an uphill battle against the high-powered Bears, who have won their first four home games by a combined score of 282-65. Cyclones Junior wide receiver Jarvis West, who caught three touchdown passes in last year’s win over the Bears, had 177 all-purpose yards against Texas Tech last week, including a 95-yard kickoff return for a score.

Baylor looks for its first 6-0 start since 1980. Quarterback Bryce Petty is the national leader in passing efficiency, while running back Lache Seastrunk leads the Big 12 in rushing with 648 yards and eight touchdowns. The Bears haven’t been held to less than 30 points since losing 35-21 to Iowa State last season in Ames.

LINE: Baylor opened as a 31.5-point home fave and is now -34. The total opened at 75.5 and is now 76.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.

* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Cyclones are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings in Baylor.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Alabama Crimson Tide (-29.5, 48.5)

Arkansas dropped its fourth straight, tying for the longest losing streak of new coach Bret Bielema’s career, with last week’s 52-7 home loss to South Carolina. The Razorbacks are 0-3 in the SEC for the first time since 2007 as they prepare for their fourth consecutive ranked opponent.  Making matters worse, they just lost senior defensive tackle Robert Thomas (31 tackles, 3.5 sacks) for the season to a broken leg.

Alabama last week won its 10th straight dating to last season, trampling Kentucky 48-7, and the defense is again playing at a championship level. The unit went 14 quarters without allowing a touchdown until the Wildcats scored and Alabama ranks second nationally in points allowed (11.3) and seventh in rushing defense (87.2 yards per game).

LINE: The Tide opened as 27.5-point home faves and are now -28. The total opened at 48.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with clear skies.

* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Alabama.
* Over is 9-1-1 in Razorbacks last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers (+3.5, 65)

Seminoles QB Jameis Winston has been immune to typical freshman mistakes as he ranks second in the nation in passing efficiency and has thrown only two interceptions, helping the Seminoles lead the nation with just three giveaways. Florida State ranks fourth in the country in total offense (549 yards per game) and has racked up 400 or more total yards in 14 of its last 19 contests.

The Tigers' defense has been a surprising strength, though, holding five straight opponents to 14 points or fewer and limiting Boston College star Andre Williams to 70 yards on 24 carries in a 24-14 victory last week.

The Seminoles opened as 2.5-point road faves and are now -3. The total opened at 64.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 21 percent chance of rain.

* Seminoles are 0-8 ATS in their last eight meetings in Clemson.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 conference games.

UNLV Rebels at Fresno State Bulldogs (-25, 74)

The Rebels deserve credit for turning their season around after opening with losses to Minnesota and Arizona, but their opponents during their win streak have a combined record of 8-18. In order to post their most impressive victory since beating Arizona State in 2008, the Rebels need a series of big plays from the trio of quarterback Caleb Herring, running back Tim Cornett and wide receiver Devante Davis, who is ranked second in the conference in receiving yards at 102.3 per game.

After struggling to establish their running game early on, the Bulldogs have featured a more balanced attack over the past two games, with Marteze Waller rushing for 157 yards and two touchdowns in a 61-14 win over Idaho on Oct. 5.

LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 21-point faves and are now -24.5. The total opened at 72 and is currently 74.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies.

* Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last four conference games.
* Rebels are 10-39-4 ATS in their last 53 road games.
* Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.

Washington State at Oregon Ducks (-39.5, 72)

In the 52-24 loss to Oregon State last week, the Cougars led 24-17 in the third quarter before the Beavers responded with 35 unanswered points. The Cougars will need QB Connor Halliday and top receiver Gabe Marks (46 receptions, 512 yards, four touchdowns) to step up their games as Washington State has the nation's worst rushing attack at 66.4 yards per game.

It would be natural for the Ducks to look ahead with games against No. 10 UCLA and No. 13 Stanford in the next two weeks, but their overpowering offense and opportunistic defense can trump any mental lapses that may occur. While much of the attention is devoted to Marcus Mariota and his unit (56.8 points per game, second in the nation), the defense is also second with a turnover margin of plus-11 and has allowed nine touchdowns - tied for fourth-fewest in the country.

LINE: The Ducks opened as 38.5-point faves. The total opened at 73.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with clear skies.

* Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
* Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* Ducks are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

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