English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Nov 23, 2013 |
Sunday has a pair of games on the board and a few marquee clubs being featured. After Southampton's loss to Arsenal Saturday, Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester United and Manchester City will look for three points and try to get in the top four.

We talk to Aron Black of Bet365 about the action coming in on the Spurs-Manchester City match.

Manchester City v Tottenham (-143, +280, +475)

Why bet Manchester City:
The Citizens will look to avenge an embarrassing loss to Sunderland prior to the international break. The club has won three and lost three in its last six matches and needs to hit a run of consistency to get itself back into the title picture.

Key players out/doubtful: Vincent Kompany, Stevan Jovetic, David Silva

Why bet Spurs: Spurs received some bad news as playmaker Christian Eriksen will be sidelined for about a month with an ankle injury. That means Lewis Holtby will probably slot behind Roberto Soldado in the No. 10 role. Which isn't such a bad thing as Holtby has played well in his time on the pitch. One of the better defensive sides in the league will be tested by City's attack, but they are certainly up to the challenge.

Key players out/doubtful: Christian Eriksen, Danny Rose, Emmanuel Adebayor

2012-13 fixture result: City 2, Spurs 1

Key betting note:
Spurs have played under the 2.5 goal total in 10 of their 11 matches this season.

Where the action is:
"Obviously City will be going for the win, and given the record at home it's no surprise they have firm support at -150," Black tells Covers.  "But Spurs will look to make it very difficult to break down, and hope that they can snatch a goal on the counter, and do see their backers at +425. The Total Goals market sees mainly over 2.5 play at -125, and the Goalscorer markets see Sergio Aguero as the most popular play to Score First at +333 as well as to Score Anytime at -105."

Cardiff v Manchester United (+500, +300, -154)

Why bet Cardiff: They only have three wins on the season, but Cardiff has beaten Man City so they are capable of pulling an upset. The Blue Birds lost to Aston Villa before the break, but a fairly solid back four is certainly capable of playing well enough to keep them in the game.

Key players out/doubtful: Andreas Cornelius

Why bet Manchester United: Following a rough start to the season, the Red Devils have gotten themselves in order. They've won three straight and four of five heading into this one and will be determined to climb back into the top four. Robin van Persie and Wayne Rooney have 12 of the side's 18 goals and have played spectacularly of late.

Key players out/doubtful:
Michael Carrick, Danny Welbeck, Phil Jones, Darren Fletcher

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Four of United's five away matches have gone over the 2.5 goal total.

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