Handicapping NCAAF coaches on the hot seat

Oct 10, 2012 |
Handicapping NCAAF coaches on the hot seat
How much further will the young Tigers follow head coach Gene Chizik?
How much further will the young Tigers follow head coach Gene Chizik?
Back in July, we pointed out five college football coaches who were sitting on the hot seat heading into the season. And, as we head into Week 7 of the schedule, that added pressure has helped and hurt some of those coaches.

Mike Riley of Oregon State and Mack Brown of Texas are the only two of those five featured coaches to turn a profit so far, sitting with a combined 6-3 ATS count. The other three – Randy Edsall of Maryland, Dan Enos of Central Michigan and Bobby Hauck of UNLV – have a combined 5-9 ATS mark.

With the help of coacheshotseat.com, which updates the job stability of every college coach in the land each week, we look at four more head coaches whose chairs are billowing smoke heading into Week 7:

Frank Spaziani, Boston College Eagles (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS)

Neither the alumni nor the betting public is very happy with Spaziani. And a lot of the time, those things are one in the same. The Eagles lost to Army as 7-point road favorites this past weekend and don’t get time to catch their breath, taking on a pissed-off Florida State squad as 28-point road dogs Saturday.

But, despite how bad Boston College does in that game – or going forward – Spaziani is expected to stick around until the end of the season, according to new AD Brad Bates who was introduced Tuesday. The Eagles are 21-23 SU and 19-23 ATS (in lined games) under Spaziani’s watch.

Derek Dooley, Tennessee Volunteers (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS)

While some question Dooley’s choices on the sideline, you can’t question his toughness. The Vols head coach won’t miss time after undergoing hip surgery this week but will call the shots from the coaches’ booth when Tennessee travels to No. 18 Mississippi State as a 3-point underdog Saturday.

The Volunteers have a tough sked ahead. Following MSU are dates with fellow ranked foes Alabama and South Carolina. Dooley is 14-16 SU in his three years taking on the task of rebuilding the UT program. But Vols backers are getting impatient, especially since the team is 13-15-2 ATS under Dooley.

Gene Chizik, Auburn Tigers (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS)

It was just two short years ago that Chizik was hoisting the BCS Crystal Ball above his head. Well, it’s pretty obvious Cam Newton ain’t walkin’ through that door anytime soon. Auburn has sunk to the bottom of the SEC and the Tigers faithful are calling for Chizik’s head.

Auburn lacks senior leadership, which means Chizik and his staff need to not only play the role of coaches but also mentors. The Tigers are coming off a loss to Arkansas – perhaps the only other SEC program more lost that Auburn – and are 6-point underdogs at Ole Miss this weekend. Chizik is 31-14 SU and 22-23 ATS in his four years at Auburn, with 2010 as his only season in the black (10-4 ATS).

Jeff Tedford, California Golden Bears (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS)

Tedford has had the longest tenure of the four coaches on our list, boasting an 81-52 SU record since taking the job with Cal in 2002. The Golden Bears have gone 66-63-2 ATS in lined games during that span.

Tedford was able to right the ship following three straight losses, taking a 42-17 win over UCLA as a 2.5-point home underdog last weekend, and should be able to pick up another “W” at Washington State as 7-point chalk Saturday. That would cool off the coach’s seat considerably before running the gauntlet in the final five games – Stanford, at Utah, Washington, Oregon, at Oregon State.

Follow coacheshotseat.com on Twitter @CoachesHotSeat.

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