Where the action is: Sunday's NFL line moves

Nov 16, 2013 |
Week 11 of the NFL schedule features a few matchups where injuries are playing a key part in line moves. We talk to oddsmakers about the action coming in on some of Sunday's matchups and where lines could close come kickoff:

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills - Open: -1, Move: +1

Remember when the Jets were supposed to be horrible? Well, a win over division rivals Buffalo and they could be in the thick of the playoff hunt. The Bills opened as a small home fave, but injuries to some key players has bettors treading lightly.

"The opener saw the Bills as a small fave, but the injury report has been much kinder to the Jets with numerous upgrades to probable on both sides of the ball," says Aron Black of Bet365. "The 'expected to miss' status of Buffalo WR’s Stevie Johnson and Robert Woods, moving the line to the Jets as a small fave. Action is pretty split ATS, but the bulk of SU action is on the Jets as slight dog."

Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars - Open: +6, Move: +9

The Jags may have finally won a game SU and covered their second spread of the season last week at Tennessee, but bettors don't see a trend beginning in either department. The Cards opened as 6-point road faves and sharps and public alike have gotten behind the NFC West squad that has won back-to-back games SU.

"Monday we got sharp play on Cards -6 so moved to -6.5 and Wednesday got another sharp play on Arizona so moved to -7," says Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag. "Heavy majority of action has been on the Cards all week, which caused us on Thursday to move to current number of -9. Sixty-six percent of the cash is backing Arizona."

Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans - Open: -7, Move: -9

Lines for this AFC matchup opened anywhere from -6.5 to -7.5 depending on where you shop. The Raiders are expected to start Matthew McGloin at QB as Terrelle Pryor is doubtful.

"The line move to -9 is down to QB Pryor being out, and the action has gone along with Houston from the start and with moves," Black says. "Oakland action has come back at +9, however the game is one of the quieter action games of the weekend given all the uncertainty due to injuries."

San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins - Open: +1, Move: +2.5

The Chargers come into this one cold, having lost two games in a row both SU and ATS. Despite that, San Diego opened as 1-point road faves at most outlets and with sharps getting in on the action early, oddsmakers don't see the line moving from here on out.

"On Tuesday we got sharp play on Bolts -1, so we moved to the current number of -2.5," Perry says. "Expect us to stay on -2.5 until kickoff. Eighty percent of money is on San Diego."

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