NFL Prop Shop: Wild Card Weekend

Jan 3, 2013 |
NFL Prop Shop: Wild Card Weekend
Sean expects Andy Dalton to have a field day against the Texans defense Saturday.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Sean expects Andy Dalton to have a field day against the Texans defense Saturday.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Fresh off a 3-1 Week 17 prop card, Covers Expert Sean Murphy is ready to roll with his four best prop bets from this weekend's Wild Card playoff action.

He's targeting all four games, with one play from each; take a look.

Most passing yards

Andy Dalton vs. Matt Schaub

I'll play the momentum card in this matchup.

Matt Schaub has been scuffing his heels lately, topping out at 275 yards passing over his last five games. Expect the Texans to go run-heavy in this matchup, with Arian Foster stealing the show.

With BenJarvus Green-Ellis banged up, not to mention inconsistent, the Bengals will lean heavily on the arm of Andy Dalton. He and A.J. Green should have a field day against a Texans defense that is deep in a state of regression.

Take: Dalton

Most rushing yards

Marshawn Lynch vs. Alfred Morris

Both teams are led by rookie quarterbacks, but the difference here is, the Seahawks rookie QB is playing his first career playoff game on the road. What does that have to do with the running backs, you ask? We can expect the Seahawks to relieve some of the pressure on Wilson by handing the rock off to Marshawn Lynch early and often on Sunday. I like the way Lynch's physicality matches up against a less-than-stellar Redskins front line.

Alfred Morris is coming off a career game, but won't reach those same heights on Sunday. This one is on RG3. Morris won't be held in check all game long, but I don't see him eclipsing the century mark in terms of rushing yardage.

Take: Lynch

Most pass receptions

T.Y. Hilton vs. Torrey Smith

Rookie standout T.Y. Hilton has quietly emerged as Andrew Luck's favorite target down the stretch, and I don't think the Ravens oft-exposed secondary will have an answer for his speed on Sunday afternoon.

While the Colts by no means possess a shut-down pass defense, they do have a quality corner to match up with Torrey Smith in Vontae Davis. In fact, Smith should see plenty of double coverage on Sunday, as Indianapolis tries to take away the deep ball from the Baltimore offense.

Take: Hilton

Most sacks

Minnesota vs. Green Bay

We're getting solid value with the Vikings' terrific pass rush in this matchup.

Just last Sunday, Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times - albeit in a hostile environment at the Metrodome. When these two teams met right here at Lambeau Field in early December, Rodgers was sacked twice.

Note that Christian Ponder was only sacked once in those two matchups. The story remains the same on Saturday night.

Take: Minnesota

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