Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

Sep 6, 2013 |
Books and bettors are both getting a grip on the college football season, which means plenty of line movement in Week 2 of the season. We talk to sportsbooks about the biggest adjustments to the odds heading into the weekend. (Odds updated as of 9 a.m. ET Saturday morning)

South Florida Bulls at Michigan State Spartans – Open: -24.5, Move: -23

Michigan State is still ironing out the wrinkles and has some health issues heading into Week 2, which has trimmed this spread a touch.

“Doubtfuls for Michigan State have seen this line creep down, but still obviously strong to the Spartans,” Aron Black of Bet365.com tells Covers. “Money is still coming on them at the adjusted line.”

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas-San Antonio Road Runners – Open: +31.5, Move: 26.5

The Cowboys took a while to get going against Mississippi State in Week 1 but found their high-scoring form in the second half. Some markets opened this one way too high and since the adjustment, the majority of money is on OSU and could take this spread back up.

“Heavy action on Cowboys,” says Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag. “On Friday, we moved OSU to -28 with 85 percent of cash on Oklahoma State.”

Toledo Rockets at Missouri Tigers
– Open: -14.5, Move: -17.5, Move: -17

The Rockets are known for giving BCS programs a run for their money. This line jumped as many as three points, thanks to sharp money on Missouri, before bettors came back on Toledo, which is garnering 66 percent of the handle.

“Sharps are doing what sharps do in Week 2: touching double-digit dogs and smaller-market games,” says an oddsmaker with BetDSI.com.

Cincinnati Bearcats at Illinois Fighting Illini – Open: +12, Move: +7.5, Move: +8

The Bearcats beat up on Big Ten foe Purdue in Week 1 and opened as hefty favorites versus Illinois. However, early money made it clear the Illini have plenty of fight in them this weekend.

“Smart money says the opener gave too much to Cincy on the road,” says Black. “Although the line has gone to the Illini, the money is coming in now on the smaller spread on Cincinnati.”

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Tennessee Volunteers
– Open: -9.5, Move: -13.5

Bettors expect a letdown from WKU after upsetting Kentucky in Week 1. Action has also bumped the total for this game from 55 to 58 points.

“Both sharp and public money is backing the Over Western Kentucky- Tennessee total, shooting from 55 to 58 with no buy back,” says BetDSI.com.

Oregon Ducks at Virginia Cavaliers
– Open: +25.5, Move: +23.5, Move: 24.5

Some markets dropped the original line but most books opened Oregon -23 and have taken nothing but Ducks action, with sharp money getting a deal with Oregon on the road against a weaker ACC opponent.

“Ninety percent of money is on the Ducks,” says Perry. “This will be one of the five biggest decisions for the shop.”

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Auburn Tigers – Open: -13, Move: -10.5

Not everyone is buying into Auburn after its opening win over Washington State. The Tigers take on a dangerous Red Wolves squad, which has drawn the majority of spread bets and all the SU money, dropping from +390 to +330.

“Too much respect to Auburn with the early line,” says Black. “There has to be some respect given to a (ASU) team that went for 509 yards rushing last week.”

Idaho Vandals at Wyoming Cowboys
– Open: -21.5, Move: -30, Move: -28.5, Move: 28

This line has moved as much as a full touchdown at some books while others opened Wyoming -27.5 and took sharp action on the home side, which pumped the line to -30. Wiseguys bought back the Vandals and has the line at -28.5 at most shops.

San Jose State Spartans and Stanford Cardinal – Open: -22, Move: -25.5

Stanford makes its debut against a familiar foe in SJSU. The Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Spartans, but just escaped with a 20-17 win as 25.5-point favorites last fall. While the spread has climbed at most shops, Sportsbook.com is taking big money on San Jose State.

“Sharp money on San Jose State moved the line from Stanford -27.5 to -26,” says Perry. “About 72 percent of cash is on San Jose State.”

Sam Houston State Bearkats at Texas A&M Aggies  - Open: -46.5, Move: -37

This game stinks of lookahead for the Aggies, with Alabama waiting on next week’s schedule. Johnny Manziel was the brunt of media criticism all week after his antics during the limited performance versus Rice in Week 1. A dark cloud resounds over this BCS-versus-FCS matchup and bettors have moved this line nearly 10 points since post.

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