When you think All-Star Games, you're automatically drawn to images of high-scoring, highlight-reel action. Unless, of course, we’re talking about the MLB All-Star Game.
While other all-star showcases, like the NBA All-Star Game or NFL Pro Bowl, are known for their outpouring of offense, the MLB Mid-Summer Classic has displayed defense over the past seven years. And, totals bettors playing the under have cashed in each and every year in that span.
This season, the oddsmakers have cooked up an 8-run total for Tuesday’s All-Star Game at Citi Field in New York. According to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag, they “look at past All-Star performances, the strength of the All-Star teams’ pitching staff and the stadium” when setting the total.
Last year, the National League blanked the American League 8-0, just staying under the 8.5-run number set by oddsmakers. In 2011, the NL won 5-1 with a total of 8. In 2010, the final score was 3-1 with a total of 8.5.
Books pegged the 2009 ASG with a 9.5-run number but the AL edged the NL 4-3. The two leagues produced that same score over 15 innings with a 10-run total in 2008. In 2007, the ASG finished 5-4 and just under the 10-run mark. And in 2006, the AL and NL combined for a 3-1 score which was well below the 10-run total.
Citi Field has helped the New York Mets produce a 23-20-1 over/under count at home this season and boasts the lowest park factor in the majors at 0.858 (a rating below 1.000 favors the pitcher). Since opening in 2009, Citi Field has never ranked higher than 0.943 – its inaugural season.
MLB All-Star Games have posted an average of 6.57 collective runs between 2006 and 2012.