Sunday English Breakfast: EPL betting cheat sheet

Aug 31, 2013 |
Sunday's Premier League fixture list features a pair of the most hotly-contested rivalries in all of English football as Man United travels to Anfield and a new chapter will be written in the North London Derby.

We talk to Aron Black at Bet365 to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.

Liverpool v Manchester United (+160, +240, +188)

Why bet Liverpool: The Reds have nabbed a full six points from their first two matches to open the season and the victories have been spearheaded by new keeper Simon Mignolet. The Belgian has not allowed a goal and has made some spectacular saves to begin live between the posts with Liverpool. Striker Luis Suraez is still out due to suspension, but the their attacking trio of of Daniel Sturridge, Iago Aspas and Philippe Coutinho always look threatening with the ball.

Key players out/doubtful: Luis Suárez, Kolo Touré, Sebastián Coates, Aly Cissokho, Joe Allen

Why bet Manchester United:
Amid a flurry of transfer rumors, Wayne Rooney made his debut for the Red Devils versus Chelsea in the 0-0 draw Monday. He should figure in David Moyes' starting XI in the hole behind scoring-machine Robin van Persie Sunday. United have not lost any of their previous 13 away matches and will look to keep that streak alive versus their bitter rival.

Key players out/doubtful: Rafael, Javier Hernández, Nani, Darren Fletcher

2012-13 fixture result: Liverpool 1, Man United 2

Key betting note: The 2-1 victory at Anfield last season was the first game that United won away to Liverpool in five seasons.

Where the action is: "Nothing would suit the Anfield faithful more than taking three points from their bitter rivals, but the draw looks the bet here. United looked like they were afraid to lose against Chelsea at home, and it would appear that they may use the same tact Sunday. The action is siding with the bigger priced visitors, although Liverpool is seeing some support."

West Brom v Swansea (+170, +240, +180)

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies have mustered one point from their first two matches, but news has gotten worse. The club could be without keeper Ben Foster for up to three months so Luke Daniels could be making his debut here. On the plus side, new arrival Scott Sinclair could figure in this game to face his old club. Sinclair should provide a much-needed threat going forward for West Brom.

Key players out/doubtful: Zoltán Gera, George Thorne, Ben Foster

Why bet Swansea: The Swans currently rank dead last in the table after a pair of losses to United and Tottenham. The Welsh outfit were better against Spurs one week ago and will look to bank three points against the Baggies. The Swans are a much better side than their record would indicate and boast more firepower than their opponents.

Key players out/doubtful: Nathan Dyer, Neil Taylor

2012-13 fixture result: West Brom 2, Swansea 1

Key betting note: Dating back to last season, West Brom haven't scored a goal in their last five Premier League games.

Arsenal v Tottenham (+120, +250, +250)

Why bet Arsenal: The Gunners have won the last two home meetings with their North London rivals 5-2 each time. Despite a lengthy injury list, Arsenal are still capable of scoring with anyone. Striker Olivier Giroud has a pair of goals through the first two matches and is hitting his stride early.

Key players out/doubtful: Thomas Vermaelen, Vassiriki Abou Diaby, Lukas Podolski, Mikel Arteta, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain

Why bet Tottenham: With last year's hero Gareth Bale gone (though an announcement won't be made until closer to the close of the window), Spurs have a basically revamped squad. The club has done a shrewd bit of business using money to ensure depth all over the pitch. Spurs are off to a great start to the campaign with six points from their first two matches, but have yet to score from open play. The new signings need time to gel but Andre Villas-Boas will look at the NLD for pieces to click.

Key players out/doubtful: Benoit Assou-Ekotto, Aaron Lennon

2012-13 fixture result: Arsenal 5, Spurs 2

Key betting note: 13 of the previous 14 matches between these two clubs have gone over the 2.5 goal total.

Where the action is: "All in all, the price about Arsenal in such a big derby looks too short, so I expect Spurs to come down towards that +225 range by kickoff. One thing is for sure – the punters love the over 2.5 goals at -143 in this game as they have for every game that both Arsenal and Tottenham have played so far."

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