Calgary vs. Toronto (+1.5, 55.5)
Time: 6 p.m. ET, Rogers Centre, Toronto
THE LINE: Most shops opened Toronto at +1.5 or +2. Several books moved them to +2.5 at mid-week but bettors have moved the line back down to where it opened. The early money was on the over and that number moved up a point to 55.5 with some shops offering it at 56 as of Saturday.
KEY STAT: Toronto has won and covered the past five meetings with Calgary, including two this season. The Argos were underdogs all five times.
TORONTO: The Argos have won and covered their last four games. They have the most explosive player in the CFL this year, Chad Owens, who was the leading returner and receiver in the CFL this year. Owens is coming off a 207-yard receiving performance against Montreal. QB Ricky Ray is starting in his fourth Grey Cup and has been winning lately more with efficiency than flash. He had the highest completion percentage in the CFL this year and has only thrown two picks in his last seven games. Toronto is middle of the pack statistically on defense, but what they lack in numbers, they make up for in physicality. They now face the tough task of trying to slow CFL-leading rusher, Jon Cornish.
CALGARY: The Stampeders are the hottest team right now with six straight victories (4-1-1 ATS) and all six games played over the total. The Stamps scored at least 32 in each one despite starting two different guys at QB over the past few games. Kevin Glenn will start in his first Grey Cup after Drew Tate broke his forearm two games ago. Glenn will have the help of Cornish, who rushed for over 100 yards in each of Calgary’s first two playoff games.
1. Toronto had slow starts in both of its postseason outings so far, falling to quick 7-0 deficits both times.
2. Turnovers will likely be huge between these two evenly matched teams. Toronto lost two fumbles last game and has three in the playoffs. Calgary has just one fumble through two playoff games.
3. Toronto was just 4-6 ATS at home this season. Calgary was 7-3 ATS on the road.