UFC 154: Georges St-Pierre (-325) vs. Carlos Condit (+265)
Long-time UFC welterweight champion Georges St-Pierre returns from a 19-month injury layoff to unify his belt with interim title holder Carlos Condit in the main event of UFC 154.
St-Pierre vs. Condit is one of the biggest fights of the year, and the stakes are high as St-Pierre is expected to face UFC middleweight champion Anderson Silva in a superfight should he get by Condit.
However, that’s a big “if” because Condit is one of the very best welterweights in the world and possesses several weapons that St-Pierre will have to nullify if he’s to pick up the win.
With the extended time off due to a knee injury and subsequent reconstructive surgery, many question marks surround St-Pierre, the biggest being we just don’t know if his knee will hold up during the bout.
Odds are it will, but it’s possible St-Pierre won’t have the same explosiveness he once did on his takedowns, which is his bread and butter. If he still has the same powerful takedowns he had before the injury, he’s going to be a handful for Condit. None of GSP’s opponents in the UFC have been able to stifle his wrestling and it’s doubtful Condit has the takedown defense to do so either.
St-Pierre is a very intelligent fighter and knows he has to take this fight to the floor because, even though he’s an excellent striker himself, Condit is on another level. Condit has a varied attack on the feet, utilizing kicks, punches, knees, and elbows to brutalize his opponents.
He’s coming off the biggest win of his career against Nick Diaz. Before that, Condit had defeated Dong Hyun Kim, Dan Hardy, Rory MacDonald and Jake Ellenberger in succession. However, his last fight against Diaz was nine months ago, so he may experience some sort of ring rust as well.
Unless St-Pierre foolishly chooses to strike with Condit, this fight is likely to hit the mat, And if it does, St-Pierre should control him there. Condit is a tough guy and has never lost by TKO in his career. But he’s also never fought anyone like the French-Canadian.
St-Pierre, who says he is extremely motivated to make a big return to the UFC, will likely take more risks than he has in his recent fights with Jake Shields, Josh Koscheck, and Dan Hardy, and look for the finish more than ever before.
At the end of the day, St-Pierre needs a win and he’ll do everything he can to keep his belt wrapped around his waist.
Check out more betting news on UFC 154 at MMAOddsbreak.com. Find the latest MMA odds here.