NFL Combine odds: Best picks on the board

Feb 23, 2012 |
NFL Combine odds: Best picks on the board
There are more options than ever betting on the NFL Combine.
There are more options than ever betting on the NFL Combine.
Everything about the NFL has gotten so big, it’s no surprise you can bet on the Combine.

Hundreds of NFL prospects have descended on Indianapolis trying to impress coaches and GMs in the 40-yard dash, bench press and football drills, not to mention in interviews and psychological testing. The meat market runs through Tuesday. is one of several books offering Combine props. We talked to Joe Fortenbaugh, author of the National Football Post’s popular Vegas Hotline column, to get his insight.

Most Bench Press Reps By Any Player

Over 48.5 reps (+100)
Under 48.5 reps (-130)

Since 2007, only four players have benched 225 pounds 40 or more times, according to Fortenbaugh. Oregon State defensive tackle Stephen Paea set the all-time record with 49 reps last year.

Pick: Under

Fastest 40-yard Dash

Over 4.3 seconds (-140)
Under 4.3 seconds (+110)

“Since they instituted electronic timing in 1999 – and I’m not talking stopwatches, they use lasers down on the field – only nine guys have gotten under 4.3,” Fortenbaugh said. “To have the under at +110, I don’t think there’s a lot of value in that.”

Jacoby Ford was the last to break 4.3, running a 4.28 in 2010. Chris Johnson (2007) and Eastern Kentucky WR Rondel Melendez (1999) share the record of 4.24.

This year, Florida running back Chris Rainey and Arkansas wide receiver Joe Adams are probably the only players who have a shot to go under 4.3, Fortenbaugh said.

“Rainey is a track guy with world-class speed, and in the spring he’s on the track team,” Fortenbaugh said. “He runs against Jeff Demps, who skipped last season to train for the Olympics and is even faster. Rainey probably will turn in the fastest time.”

Interestingly, BetOnline took down a prop matching Rainey against Oregon running back LaMichael James in the 40-yard dash. At last check, Rainey was favored at -210.


Will Anyone Break Chris Johnson’s record (4.24 seconds)?

Yes +350
No -500

Pick: No value here

Highest Vertical Leap

Alshon Jeffery (+105)
Mohamed Sanu (-135)

This is a matchup of wideouts generating lots of skepticism from NFL analysts.

Sanu, a 6-2, 218-pounder from Rutgers, shows an inability to separate and lacks great acceleration, according to NFL Network’s Mike Mayock. Jeffery is 6-4, weight unknown. Rampant and contradictory rumors have surfaced about his conditioning.
“No one really knows what kind of shape he’s in,” Fortenbaugh said. “The first key for him are [Friday’s] measurements.”

If Jeffery weighs more than 225, he’s not likely to excel in workouts. But with millions of dollars at stake, the guess is he got in shape.

Pick: Jeffery

Rich Eisen 40-yard Dash

Over 6.165 seconds (-140)
Under 6.165 seconds (+110)

The NFL Network anchor set a personal record last year by running a 6.18 forty, then thanked the Lord and his yoga and pilates instructors.

Except for 2007 when he pulled a hamstring, Eisen seems to be getting faster.

Here are his times:

2005 - 6.77 seconds
2006 – 6.22
2007 - 6.43
2008 - 6.34
2009 - 6.34
2010 - 6.24
2011 - 6.18

“It would have to be an all-time best for him to come in on the under,” Fortenbaugh said. “But this has become more and more popular, so I’d have to figure he’s going to take it seriously and put in a little training.”

Pick: Under

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