Where the action is: Sunday's NFL line moves

Nov 24, 2012 |
We talked to Mike Perry, oddsmaker for Sportsbook.ag, about the flow of action coming in on Sunday’s NFL games.

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay BuccaneersOpen: Pick, 48, Move: -1, 51

If the conference-leading Atlanta Falcons hope to continue their winning ways, they'll have to derail one of the hottest teams in the league when they visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a matchup of the top two clubs in the NFC South. Some books even had Tampa Bay as the favorite earlier in the week.

“We opened this game a pick ‘em and now have this one Atlanta -1.5,” says Perry. "And 86 percent of the money is on the Falcons.”

The Bucs have played over the total in seven consecutive games and bettors have driven the number up to 51 after it opened at 48.

San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints - Open: Pick, Move: +1

Niners coach Jim Harbaugh is mum on who his starting QB will be for this game, but numerous reports suggest Colin Kaepernick will be under center on Sunday after his impressive outing last week.

“We are using Niners -1 now and 60 percent of the money is on New Orleans,” notes Perry. “I think it’s a good thing for San Francisco to use Kaepernick. He provides them with more of a dual threat (run and pass) on offense.”

Seattle Seahawks at Miami DolphinsOpen: +1, Move: +3

Seasoned bettors know the Seahawks are almost a sure bet at raucous CenturyLink Field. But Seattle is proving itself on the road this season too.

“Bettors definitely have more faith in Seattle on the road this season,” according to Perry. “The Seahawks have covered in two of their last three on the road and five of six overall. Despite those numbers, 85 percent of the action is on Miami +3.”

Green Bay Packers at New York Giants
Open: -1, 49, Move: -3, 51

This marquee matchup has been getting all kinds of attention from a betting perspective, but it’s not just the spread that has bettors excited about this one.

“Packers/Giants will be the biggest game of the week from a volume (action) perspective,” notes Perry. “The Giants are currently at the opening number of -2.5 here and the total has gone from 49 to 51.5. Around 80 percent of the action is on the Packers, but the over (90%) has also been a popular bet.”

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