NCAAF Games of the Year: LSU could be FG faves at Ole Miss

Jul 8, 2013 |
Odds are out for the biggest and best games of the upcoming college football season. Teddy Covers gives you his expert insight into these marquee matchups and predict where the odds could move before kickoff.

NCAA Week 8: LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels (+1.5)

Past history: LSU has won SU on five of its last six trips to Oxford, including a 52-3 annihilation on their last visit in 2011. But the Tigers never even sniffed a pointspread cover as 19-point home chalk against the Rebels last year, needing a wild fourth-quarter rally, sparked by a punt return touchdown, to escape with a six-point victory.

Early look at LSU: The Tigers have gone 34-4 over the course of the last three regular seasons, but they are lined at only 9.5 wins in 2013. After losing four NFL draft choices from their defensive line and two more in their secondary, early bettors are expecting a significant defensive dropoff from a mediocre offensive team.

Early look at Mississippi: The Rebels have finished above .500 in the regular season only twice in the last nine years, but the first posted lines have Ole Miss projected as an 8.5-win team in 2013. Second-year head coach Hugh Freeze has a strong group of starters -particularly on offense - but a lack of quality depth is a major concern.

Where this line will move: Ole Miss has road games against Alabama and Auburn as well as a home game against Texas A&M in the three weeks prior to this SEC West showdown - a trio of tough tests. While LSU will be in a potential letdown situation following a home test against Florida the previous week, the Tigers should have the better record and the betting market support heading into this matchup. Don’t be surprised if LSU is -3 or higher by game day.

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