MLB betting: Evaluating 2013 player props

Feb 16, 2013 |
MLB betting: Evaluating 2013 player props
Angels' ace Jered Weaver has been racking up wins over the past two seasons.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Angels' ace Jered Weaver has been racking up wins over the past two seasons.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
The Atlantis Casino in Reno, Nevada is the first bookmaker to release MLB player props and season win totals.

Let’s take a look at four enticing player props available to bettors for the 2013 season:

Jose Reyes runs scored

Over/under 100.5 runs scored

No team made a bigger splash this offseason than the Toronto Blue Jays. Reyes was a key part of the November deal with the Marlins and the four-time All-Star could put up huge numbers for the Jays in 2013. Reyes is the prototypical lead-off man because of his lightning speed and career .291 batting average. Keep in mind heavy hitters Melky Cabrera, Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion will be batting behind him and that could mean a ton of runs scored for Reyes. The Mets’ all-time leader in triples and stolen bases racked up 101 runs in 126 games for New York in 2011 and 86 in 160 games for lowly Miami last season. The 29-year-old has something to prove this year and is now playing for a legit contender.

Jered Weaver wins

Over/under 17 wins

Weaver has been a beast for the Angels the past two seasons and he should receive even more run support this year with the signing of heavy-hitting OF Josh Hamilton. Weaver posted an MLB-best 20 wins last campaign and 18 in 2011. The hard-throwing righty racked up 15 wins by August 6 and has to be considered one of the favorites for the AL Cy Young Award heading into the 2013 season.

Michael Bourn stolen bases

Over/under 45.5

The ink is barely dry on Michael Bourn’s new four-year, $48 million deal with the Indians and heavy expectations are being placed on the speed demon in 2013. Bourn has spent his entire seven-year career in the National League, half of that playing for some bad Houston teams. The 30-year-old’s career average is 51 stolen bases every 162 games. In the five-year span from 2008 to 2012, Bourn averaged 51 stolen bases per year and led the NL in that category in three of the five years. The Indians have a lot of hitters (Jason Kipnis, Carlos Santana, and Asdrubal Cabrera) who tend to strike out quite often, so expect the Tribe to use their speed to manufacture the majority of their runs this season.

Adrian Gonzalez RBIs

Over/under 107.5

This number seems a little high for Gonzalez. The 30-year-old has only exceeded this total twice in his career (2008, 2011) and only drove in 22 runs in 36 games after he was dealt to the Dodgers last season. The left-handed hitting Gonzalez averaged 100.2 RBIs per season during his five-year stint in the NL with the Padres and no longer has the advantage of the short porch in right at Fenway Park. Not to mention Gonzalez is projected to hit fourth in the Dodgers’ lineup behind slugger Matt Kemp, who could hog the majority of RBI opportunities.

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