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Football lines that make you go hmmm...

Oddsmakers expect Oklahoma State and Baylor to go out with a bang in Week 14 of the college football season.

The early total for this Big 12 regular season finale is popping up as high as 86.5 points, which is by far the biggest over/under of this season and could be the largest total in college football betting history (records only go back so far).

“I’ve never seen an 86 open,” veteran Las Vegas oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro of William Hill U.S. sportsbooks told Covers. “Absolutely not.”

Oklahoma State ranks third in points scored per game (45.6) and boasts a 7-3 over/under mark on the year, playing above the number in four straight games heading into Saturday. Baylor averages 44.4 points an outing (fifth overall) and owns an 8-2 over/under count, finishing over the total in three straight contests.

“It’s warranted,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, told Covers of the massive total. “Theirs is a wide-open style of play, especially if one team gets up early. They’re not into this run it up the middle twice and pass once. They’re looking downfield on every play.”

Eighty-point numbers haven’t been scarce this year. Baylor has topped two totals of 80 or more points this season, playing above the 82.5-point total versus West Virginia (70-63) in Week 5 and finishing over the 80-point number against Texas Tech (52-45 OT) last weekend.

Some of the early action on OSU-Baylor has been on the under, dropping the 86.5 to 86 points.

“How high can we make these totals? Not high enough,” says Vaccaro. “If you see a ridiculously high total, bet it over. If you see a ridiculously low total, bet it under. You’d have a good chance of making some money that way.”

Here are some other football odds making bettors go “hmmm…” heading into the weekend:

NFL

Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers
(+1, 46.5)

What is it about the San Diego Chargers that oddsmakers love so much? It can’t be their three-game losing streak or the fact that they have one win since the end of September.

Week after week, it seems books are giving the Bolts the benefit of the doubt and Week 13 is no exception. San Diego opened as a 1-point home favorite hosting Cincinnati this Sunday, which was quickly bet over the fence to Chargers +1.

Even that move seems a little generous when you consider the Bolts’ recent blunders and the fact that the Bengals are one of the hottest teams in the league since shocking the Giants three weeks ago. Cincinnati has won three in a row SU and ATS and, even though two of those wins came over Kansas City and Oakland, the Bengals deserve more respect.

New York Giants at Washington Redskins
(+1, 51)


The Giants posted the most impressive win on the Week 12 slate, stomping the Packers 38-10 to halt a two-game losing skid.

Yet, books opened the defending Super Bowl champs as small faves in D.C. Monday night. New York opened as high as -2.5 but some books are dealing the Giants -1 with early action on the home side.

The G-Men escaped an upset bid by the Redskins in Week 7, needing a 77-yard strike to Victor Cruz in the final minutes to squeak out a 27-23 home victory. Washington also coughed the ball up four times in the second half, including a fumble with 29 seconds remaining that snuffed out a last-second comeback.

The Redskins are coming off back-to-back divisional wins over Philadelphia and Dallas, in which rookie QB Robert Griffin III shone brightest. Griffin will be in the crosshairs of a frenzied N.Y. pass rush that got to Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers five times and forced a fumble in the final minutes of that win.

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Posted by admiralhargrade
1 year ago

My initial thought was that I'd like the Okla St - Baylor game over even if the number was 100. But then I checked weather.com and saw that the wind is expected to be blowing at 18 mph in Waco on Saturday. My experience (and simple common sense) tells me that nothing shuts down a passing offense as much as high winds.
avatar

Posted by admiralhargrade
1 year ago

My initial thought was that I'd like the Okla St - Baylor game over even if the number was 100. But then I checked weather.com and saw that the wind is expected to be blowing at 18 mph in Waco on Saturday. My experience (and simple common sense) tells me that nothing shuts down a passing offense as much as high winds.
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Posted by nc1capper
1 year ago

That fellow RG3 is a good football player
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Posted by yaz
1 year ago

The Bears are 4-7 under this posted total and the Cowboys are 5-6 under. After averaging 605 ypg the first 6 games this year the Cowboys are averaging 479 ypg the last 5. Be careful here.
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Top Response

Posted by admiralhargrade
1 year ago

"My initial thought was that I'd like the Okla St - Baylor game over even if the number was 100. But then I checked weather.com and saw that the wind is expected to be blowing at 18 mph in Waco on Saturday. My experience (and simple common sense) tell..."

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