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NFL Underdogs: Week 3 pointspread picks

There’s nothing sweeter – or sourer – than watching your bet unfold in super slow-motion accompanied by a thunderous orchestra. And, thanks to NFL Films, football fans have been able to relive their greatest and most crushing wagering memories again and again.

Nearly lost in the frenzy over replacement refs this week was the passing of NFL Films president, Steve Sabol, who died of brain cancer at age 69.

Sabol, and his Hall of Fame father Ed, wrote poetry penned in the savagery of the National Football League, taking the Average Joe Armchair inside the huddle, placing him on the sidelines and sitting him in the locker room with their visionary take on the game.

Sabol also had fun with football, putting together bloopers and blunders from the NFL. Those sound-effect enhanced football follies shows were the first tastes of the NFL for some of us. I still cue the “BOIIIINNNNGGG!” when someone takes a pass off the back of the head.


The source material is rich and always fresh. Each week, NFL teams provide drama, suspense, action, violence, comedy and even inspiration (have you heard some of those pregame pep talks? Goosebumps, baby). However, when it comes to NFL Films’ best work, nothing can hold a candle to the underdog story.

“There's no comparison. One of the tenets of football, its essence, is triumphing over adversity,” Sabol once said. “That can be your opponent, your shortcomings or it can be the weather.”

There are plenty of underdog stories ready to be told in Week 3 of the NFL season, especially with the current trend of home dogs going a profitable 8-3 ATS after two rounds. Excluding the Thursday nighter between New York and Carolina, there are eight host teams taking the points this week.

One of those teams is the Arizona Cardinals, who are surprisingly 2-0 SU and ATS with both paydays coming as underdogs. The Cardinals are getting four points at home to the Philadelphia Eagles, who have somehow salvaged a 2-0 record despite Mike Vick’s six interceptions and 66.9 QB rating.

Arizona’s speedy defense is underrated and was able to decode the beautiful mind of Bill Belichick in last week’s win over New England. If Tom Brady didn’t know what was coming, how do you think Vick will react?

I expect a few of those classic NFL Films “BOIIIINNNNGGG!” plays from the Eagles QB this Sunday.

Pick: Arizona +4

Atlanta Falcons at San Diego Chargers
(-3, 47.5)


People in San Diego are spoiled. Not only is the “Whale’s Vagina” the nicest climate on earth but a 2-0 start to the season doesn’t even raise an eyebrow. The Chargers are undefeated heading into Week 3’s date with the Falcons (also 2-0) and no one in San Diego gives a shit.

Tickets sales for Sunday’s game are in the crapper and, as of Thursday, the team needs to sell 11,000 more tickets in order to avoid a local TV blackout. The Bolts barely avoided the blackout last week versus the Titans and needed a 24-hour extension to do so.

Perhaps San Diego football fans are wise to the Chargers’ ploy. Wins over Oakland and Tennessee are about as newsworthy as finding two prizes inside your cereal box, and Bolts backers have been suckered into believing in what they thought was a winning team the past few seasons.

Go F#@k yourself San Diego.

Pick: Atlanta +3

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 49.5)

I’ll be honest with you. I’m in a terrible mood today.

Mrs. NFL Underdogs has been sick the past two days, hacking and coughing, forcing me to sleep in the spare bed which is about six inches too short for my 6-foot-5 frame (that’s what she said. Zing!).

I’d have to say, on a rough estimate, that I’ve got about nine hours of sleep in the past two days. That may be par for the course for some of you who don’t do shit. But I got shit to do. And that shit starts at 7 a.m.

Needless to say, I’m about one stubbed toe (or Cowboys loss) away from going John Fox on someone.

But that rage is nothing compared to the seething volcano of wrath bubbling up inside Patriots head coach Bill Belichick after his embarrassing defeat to the Cardinals last weekend.

Arizona defensive coordinator Ray Horton reportedly figured out the Pats' offense, like a poker player exposing an opponent’s tell. And nothing gets Belichick’s goat like being outsmarted.

New England is 34-16-1 ATS in its last 51 games coming off a loss (66 percent) and has shown up in NFL Underdogs fewer times than Terrell Owens has been to the father-son picnic.

Don’t look a gift horse in the mouth. And don’t underestimate a pissed off Belichick getting the points.

Pick: New England +3

Last week: 1-1-1 ATS
Season: 4-1-1 ATS

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Posted by Kohler
8 months ago

Looks to me like the first two picks are very solid, but second halves are just starting!
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Posted by bilsfn15
8 months ago

wow i think you're 0-3 today...might be your bad week of the year. the Pats aren't he Pats of old 2 L's in a row wouldn't surprise me in a tough road game vs a good team that should have beat them in the AFC Championships game last year...the eagles will KILL Kevin Kolb and scare him into turnover's today, eagles O finally puts it together WITHOUT turnovers. the falcons is the only one i think you might win but i still like the chargers, ATL traveling out west on a short week after an emotional MNF game at home. i think Matty Ice melts in the SoCal sun
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Posted by Waz44
8 months ago

Imagine how irritated you are going to be when Ray Lewis hands Giselle Bunchen her husbands head and says "catch this" Pats are one TE short of a load and Kelllen won't suffice That O-line is shaky and pressure's a comin. Last weeks Eagle's - Ravens may have been the preview of the Super Bowl. Pats get no credit for beating 'flat line' Titans. Off the loss Ravens + revenge = NE 1-2
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Posted by vegasroy
8 months ago

nobody can afford to go to a charger game in san diego.things are tuff in so-cal
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Posted by madulamaximus
8 months ago

Baltimore vs a pats team thats a shell of the past. When pats meet a physical D.......their recievers crumble......literally. Brady targets are all choir boys. They just dont play the tall athletic type. I just never figured out why they sat Ocho.....he was capable of the big play. Small and slow will not cut it. And the dink and dunk wont work in baltimore.
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Posted by LIMover55
8 months ago

this is that type of week where logic mite not prevail .Case in Point Ariz.It would be tough for a team to get up 100%after flying into NE shocking the Pats then back home to get ready for a Eagle team who know the QB there playing better than the team he plays for .For me Eagles might be the most overated team in Football,but I think today they finally put together a good game and show why they are considered one of the top teams to beat this year Eagles win 32-21
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Posted by pee
8 months ago

san diego over d falcons n browns over bills get money
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Posted by bizkilla
8 months ago

Arizona has me surprised as well but in this scenerio I think the odds are better taking the Eagles. At some point they will get in tune and Vick will come through (Fantasy!). Eagles 27-17.
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Posted by JayBiz
8 months ago

Personally think Eagles kick the ish outta Kolb and AZ's online and Bal gets revenge for the AFC champ game they should have won.
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Posted by Getty3
8 months ago

I hope the Mrs. is feeling better.
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Posted by Skubishack
8 months ago

Arizona YES... NE and STL,,, um NO
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Posted by Skubishack
8 months ago

(typo)... NE and ATL ...um NO
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Top Response

Posted by Getty3
8 months ago

"I hope the Mrs. is feeling better. "