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Sharp bettors moving Packers-Saints odds

Wiseguy money is moving the pointspread for tonight’s NFL season opener between the New Orleans Saints and Green Bay Packers. 

The Packers opened as 4-point home favorites but the spread can now be found as high as -5.5 at some sportsbooks.


“We had one of our sharpest guys come in and lay the 4 (points),” MGM/Mirage oddsmaker Jeff Stoneback told Covers.com Thursday afternoon. “Anytime this guy bets, we move the line.”

And it’s not just at the MGM/Mirage. The professionals are going everywhere to grab the lowest number they can find on the Packers. Cantor Gaming, which operates 10 sportsbooks in Las Vegas, bumped its spread to 5.5 early Thursday morning because of a steady flow of Packers money.

“We always open the Super Bowl champs high because we know the public is going to want to bet them,” Bob Scucci, director of race and sports for Coast Casinos, told Covers.com. “We know the numbers we get from oddsmakers will be a little inflated and then we bump it up.

“We knew the public would be on the Packers. It’s a little scary when the public and the sharps are on the same side though.”

MGM/Mirage and Coast Casinos are at 4.5 but even since moving the number from 4, the action is still mostly on Green Bay. Scucci and Stoneback both said their tickets counts were about 2-to-1 in favor of the Packers.

“I think 5.5 is the right number,” Cantor Gaming boss Mike Colbert told Covers.com.

Colbert opened his line at Packers -4 and says he moved it quickly to 5.5 because of Green Bay action in just the last two days. He also told us he doesn’t see his line closing with a spread larger than 5.5.

“We’ll be rooting for the Saints and the under,” Stoneback said.

That’s because sportsbooks are also getting hammered with over bets, but all three sportsbooks said it’s been pretty much all public action on the total. The over/under for the game opened as low as 46 but can now be found as high as 48 points.

“I think you’ll see some 48.5s maybe even some 49s by kickoff,” Stoneback said.

“We knew they’d bet the Packers and the over,” Scucci added. “Looks like we didn’t go high enough.” 

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Posted by SharpCheddar
1 year ago

45-10 Packers
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Posted by golfgodks
1 year ago

What are you smoking???
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Posted by aahuerta
1 year ago

Dont buy into the packers hype for tonight, the saints certainly have a good shot at winning, and an even better shot at covering the spread. This game is going to be decided by a field goal, saints all day.
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Posted by T2KOAK
1 year ago

Saints are going to su win....Sean Payton is 2-0 against Mike McCarthy both blowouts...get use to Mark Ingram too....Packers will have nightmares about him and his north south running style and soon as they put 8 in the box it's curtains.....Saints by 10+ and waaaay over the total....39-27 Saints
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Posted by Ashton_Grewal
1 year ago

Hey guys, A quick update: Wynn Las Vegas sportsbook manager John Avello told me he's had a bit more money on Packers but isn't that much at this point. The Wynn is still at 4.5 and was as long as 3.5 four days ago.
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Top Response

Posted by aahuerta
1 year ago

"Dont buy into the packers hype for tonight, the saints certainly have a good shot at winning, and an even better shot at covering the spread. This game is going to be decided by a field goal, saints all day."