College Four-Play: Week 6 picks

Thirty-two seconds. That’s about how long it took me to realize my first bet of the day wasn’t going to come through last Saturday.

Ontario McCalebb ran one in from 50 yards on UL Munroe on the second play from scrimmage and it was head-smackingly obvious that 35 points wasn’t nearly going to be enough for the Warhawks.

I was certain I’d made the dumbest move of the college football season after Auburn burned my cash with a 52-3 victory.

Thank goodness for the Tennessee Volunteers.

They snatched defeat from the jaws of victory when they sent 13 men onto the field for the final play of the game against LSU. They used the extra men to get the goal line stop, but LSU scored on the free play after the penalty and walked away with a 16-14 win.

But if you thought that was the dumbest move of the college football season, you were wrong.

That honor belongs to a pair of Baylor sophomore receivers, Willie Jefferson and Josh Gordon. They were found passed out in the drive-thru lane of a Taco Bell in Waco Texas at 2 a.m. Sunday morning. Shockingly, police found marijuana in their possession and they were arrested on misdemeanor charges.

Now that is some amazing weed.

What is also amazing is the fact I am still three games above .500 at 11-8-1. I went 2-2 last week and I’d really like to get back on the winning track. This juicing out business is starting to get to me.

Hawaii at Fresno State (-10.5, 63.5)

Hawaii games are like that ever-reliable Karen Owen-type skank you used to call at 3 a.m. in college. She was always there when you needed her most.

Sometimes you regret it terribly. Other times it’s just what you needed.

But there those Hawaii games sit at the end of a long, hard Saturday of college football betting. And we can’t resist them.

Sometimes it’s because we need a win to erase our day of losses. Other times, we can’t help but make a play because we’ve had a splendid day of winning and, why not? We’re playing with the house’s money anyway.

This game isn’t quite that last game of the day this week, but it’s close. And we’re going to hit it because we’re men and that’s what we do.

Hawaii takes it in a back-door cover.

Pick: Hawaii +10.5

Utah vs. Iowa State (-6, 54.5)


Utah is one team that, no matter what it does, it always seems to be the perpetual underdog.

I realize they’re favored this week, but only by 6? Doesn’t seem right.

The Utes have two incredible quarterbacks and balanced offense that can score on you all kinds of ways. (Sixth in the nation in scoring.) But it’s their defense that has really enabled them to go seven straight games dating back to last year without dropping a spread.

The Utes rank seventh in the country in total defense and they allow just 12.8 points a game.  Not to mention, they love to hit. Hard.

Iowa State’s one good game last week against Texas Tech doesn’t have me convinced. Utah comes in off a bye and shouldn’t have any trouble winning by a touchdown.

Pick: Utah -6

Temple vs. Northern Illinois (-3.5, 48.5)

Biggest. Game. Of. The. Weekend.

This is the MAC championship game preview that college fans everywhere have had circled on their calendars since May. Fear not – if you have the Direct TV college package, you won’t miss a snap.

If not, you’ll have to catch it on transistor radio if you live within 5 miles of DeKalb.

I kid, I kid. I actually think this will be a decent game to watch – the second time around. I don’t think either team will want to show each other much Saturday though because it’s pretty much a lock they’re going to meet for the conference championship.

I’m expecting some vanilla play calling and that means a lot of clock running. Here’s my first over/under play of the year.

Pick:
Under 48.5

LSU vs. Florida (-6.5, 42)

I know LSU should have lost last week and Jordan Jefferson has more turnovers than Pillsbury, but I think the real Florida team just got exposed last week against Bama.

I’m expecting one of those SEC defensive wars at the Swamp Saturday night and those games generally get decided by field goals or safeties, not touchdowns.

Pick: LSU +6.5

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Posted by greek04champs
4 years ago

Those picks are good but not as great as mine people my BIG UGLY DOGS all covered and won straight up check out my space and my playbook posts every1 can see that all my parlays so send me a message if you want some BIG UGLY DOGS to build our bankroll?
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Posted by JHBuff25
4 years ago

Nice picks.
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Posted by StevenGA1011
4 years ago

Iowa St +6
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Posted by Zumbize
4 years ago

My Hawaii equivalent used to Big West CBB games. Nothing like action on teams you couldn't identify one player from. Good stuff man.
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Posted by D-Gen
4 years ago

Greetings Gents........... Playing situational today(home dogs; small home favs; dogs at +7.5-10pts) with only strong analysis to consider the veto. Just trying to find the right balance between system play vs analysis play....and the situations that pay most consistently. Tired of getting whacked by dogs (and especially home dogs) so far. Got Vegas comming up in a few weeks and want to see if I can find any new "filters" to use before then. Always appreciate knowledge and help with what you've found. Sorry for the long winded intro.....early plays are NC St +9.5 (1u)......Ohio St/Indy over 59 (1u)...........Minnesota +22.5 (2u).....Temple +3.5 (2u).....Temple/N. Ill under 49.5 (2u)...............Good Luck All
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Posted by doobiebrother
4 years ago

Saturday plays for CFB 5* each on Penn St. (-8) and Cal (-7.5), 3* each on USF (-8), Miami, O/Cincy Over (53), Va Tech (-21.5), S. Carolina (+7), Florida (-6.5), Arkansas (-5.5), and Tulsa (+6.5). Analysis on my blog. Season to date 31-23-3 (+17.3).
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Posted by doobiebrother
4 years ago

In Bama's entire 32-2 SU run, they have not been tested at road venues vs. the SEC's elite teams until the Arkansas game (if the Hogs are indeed elite). Including this year's 2 road games at Duke and Arkansas, only 10 of the 34 games were true road games. Of the 8 vs. the SEC the last 2 years, only 1 opponent (Georgia 6-2 '08) finished with a winning SEC record. The other 7 combined to go 21-37 in SEC play. S. Carolina is probably the best team Bama has played at a true road (not nuetral) venue during the entire run.
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Posted by bilsfn15
4 years ago

BAMA had 18 1st downs ran the ball 34 times for 170 yards... 5.0 yds per carry...in a game that was over by halftime and they just needed to play a little defense...i dont even know why this is an arguement. Bama will do the same ot SC today...Arkansas will kill A&M
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Posted by bilsfn15
4 years ago

and in all honesty doobie-bud...i usually love all your write ups...this one just seemed more of a homer write up. like me betting on my PHILLIES haha. but cheers to you and let me know whatelse you like today. i like Over 58.5 in SJS/Nevada...Temple +3.5...Minny +23 (bought the book)...Arkansas -5...Oregon -35...Utah/Auburn 6pt teaser to pk's
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Posted by doobiebrother
4 years ago

Note I DID NOT say Florida dominated the line of scrimmage vs. Alabama. I said they won the battle, especially on offense. It would have been more accurate to say only on offense as Bama had some good runs, but were also stopped on many. However Bama did NOT dominate the line of scrimmage. When you dominate the line of scrimmage you wind up with more than 273 total yards. That is good defense. Two Bama TDs were gifts. They had a pick six and also another pick that led to a 18 yard TD "drive". The 3rd pick was of a jump pass in the end zone after a long Florida drive (Meyer probably would have taken 3 if K Sturgis had made the trip). That's a 21 point turnaround due to turnovers, the very definition of a misleading score. The treatment of this game by the press is totally absurd. Bama made the big plays on "D" and they deserve credit for that but words like dominate, dismantle, manhandle, etc., etc, do not apply here. Florida moved the ball on offense from the opening drive, not just at garbage time, and they'll move it on LSU (just hope they hold on to it).
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Posted by dj_destroyer
4 years ago

The write-up for Hawaii is hilarious.
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Posted by cpascoa97
4 years ago

gators to win this battle.
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Posted by cpascoa97
4 years ago

gators to win this battle.
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Posted by cpascoa97
4 years ago

gators to win this battle.
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Posted by cpascoa97
4 years ago

gators to win this battle.
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Posted by JROCK1966
4 years ago

yeah I agree with these guys above...Florida covers this weekend. They'll be a different team in The Swamp than what we saw last week. Their defense will more than match up to LSU's offense...even with Wright back there instead of Jefferson.
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Posted by linetamer
4 years ago

Did youeven watch the Fla/Bama game? I am no gator fan but your "real team got exposed" comment ranks right up there with your ULM pick on the stupid meter.
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Posted by Plumber137
4 years ago

Love doobiebrother's comments, LSU sucks, Florida in a rout.
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Posted by doobiebrother
4 years ago

Real Florida team got exposed last week vs. Bama? I hope you are right because they outgained the Tide for the game and 185-6 in the 2nd half. Gators lost the turnover battle 4-0 but won the line of scrimmage, especially on offense. If they can keep the TOs down, they will blow out LSU because Gator OL will get the job done. Every LSU opponent (except Miss St.) has a weak OL. Florida is 27-0 SU vs. everyone but Bama, 6-1 ATS off a SU loss, 11-3-1 ATS vs. LSU, 40-2 SU at home, 5-1 ATS at home, and 7-1-1 as SEC home fav of 22<. LSU is 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS as SEC road dog. Utah MIGHT be good enough to win at ISU, maybe not, impossible to tell with only 12 starters back and #113 schedule. Nipped equally green Pitt (11 starters back) at home in OT in opener, then beat UNLV, NMU, SJSU. How can you tell anything about the Utes? No doubt they have put up some awesome numbers, but still 7 new starters on "D" facing ISU club that notched 52 last week. Talk about gambling. If there is a play, seems like it would be the over.
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Posted by bilsfn15
4 years ago

hahaha def a UF fan...bama didn't even need to play the 2H to win that game...if the line of scrimmage was owned then how was Ingram getting like 8 yard chunks and then Richardsons were like 15 hahaha
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Top Response

Posted by doobiebrother
4 years ago

"Real Florida team got exposed last week vs. Bama? I hope you are right because they outgained the Tide for the game and 185-6 in the 2nd half. Gators lost the turnover battle 4-0 but won the line of scrimmage, especially on offense. If they can keep..."