College Four-Play: Week 5 picks

There are 25 undefeated college football teams left in Division 1, FBS, or whatever you want to call it. By my count that’s about 20 percent of all teams and we’re in Week 5.

What a joke. Whoever said winning isn’t easy in college football was obviously a sports bettor. ‘Cause if you’re a coach, winning ain’t so tough apparently.

By contrast, only six teams are undefeated against the spread and only five teams haven’t won a game at all.

But now that the silly season is over, where beating up on frosted cupcakes has become a September ritual. It’s time to separate the real undefeated teams from the posers.

Bring on the biggest week of the season. This Saturday makes Monster Saturday (Week 2) look like Elmo.

The problem is, I’ve had trouble trying to figure out what to call it. What’s bigger than a monster? A dinosaur, maybe?

Yeah, it’s Dinosaur Saturday, people.

Penn State-Iowa. Florida-Bama. Wisconsin-Michigan State. Red River Shootout. Stanford-Oregon.  Rooarrrr!

As one friend said to me, this is the biggest bleeping week ever. And it kind of is.

I’m not scared though. I’ll take my 9-6-1 record after going 2-2 last week and will make my picks with confidence.

I suggest following me with caution.

UL Munroe vs. Auburn (-35, 53.5)
 
I know about as much about Louisiana-Munroe as I do about the Twilight trilogy. Which is more than I’d like to.

But what I do know is that Auburn is coming off two of the most physical games that any team will play this season after facing Clemson and South Carolina (both straight up wins, 1-1 against the spread). By the time overtime rolled around against Clemmy two weeks ago, medics were hauling players off the field on stretchers like they were in a World War I trench.

Somehow, the Tigers managed to regroup last week and pull out a 35-27 win against a bruising Gamecocks squad that led late into the third quarter.

All-burn has to be feeling like it just came out of a meat grinder right about now and must have breathed a little sigh of relief to see the lowly Warhawks roll into town.

And you know what that means: Letdown City.

Pick: Louisiana-Munroe +35  

Washington vs. USC (-10, 60.5)

That sneaky Lane Kiffin. You’ll never see the Trojans go 4-0 as quietly as this again.

Thank you Reggie Bush.

With no rankings and no chance at a national title, this team is a ghost this season. Oddsmakers almost forgot about them when setting lines, which is why they’re only -10.

Pick: USC

Texas vs. Oklahoma (-3.5, 44.5)

Usually I struggle with the Red River Shootout. But this is, like, the easiest call ever.

Texas got destroyed by UCLA last week. I know these teams can sometimes struggle the week before the RRS but, I mean, the Horns got plowed. At home. As 15.5-point favorites.

The biggest issue for Texas has been turnovers. The Horns are tied for worst in the nation in turnovers lost with 10. Five of those came against UCLA.

‘Homa didn’t exactly pitch a gem last week either, but at least the Sooners were on the road against an improving Cincy squad. And they won.

Don’t over think this one and take the money.

Pick:
Oklahoma -3.5

Stanford vs. Oregon (-7, 65)

Yeah, I know I bet against Stanford last week and it bit me. Call me stubborn.

You see, Card QB Andrew Luck is good and all and he’s going to play on Sundays someday soon. But the defenses he’s been eating up so far haven’t exactly been Fort Knox. 

Wake Forest and UCLA rank 108 and 110 respectively in red-zone defense this season. And last week Notre Dame’s corners were swatting at those fade passes he loves to throw like midgets trying to reach the string dangling from the basement light bulb.

The Ducks’ secondary will do just enough to force some field goals where Stanford is used to scoring touchdowns and the Oregon offense will take care of the rest.

Pick: Oregon -7

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Posted by doobiebrother
4 years ago

Analysis for today's games now up on my blog.
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Posted by doobiebrother
4 years ago

Saturday CFB, all plays 3 units. season to date 22-15-2 (+15.3). Sorry, running late, no time for write-ups. Miami/Clemson Under (49), Wisconsin/MSU Over (54.5), Maryland (-9), Wake Forest (+10), Tulsa/Memphis Under (60), Oregon St. (-3), Rice (+12.5), Florida St. (-6.5), Florida (+8.5), USC (-10)
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Posted by Rogue
4 years ago

And the great news, one of these teams has to cover the spread THIS week....I agree it's Oklahoma.
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Posted by Rogue
4 years ago

I watched OU and Texas every week and I couldn't get a read on this game. Watching USU whoop Brigham Young made me more of a believer that OU isn't as bad as they look every week.
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Posted by KasperNV
4 years ago

Going against Stanford again this week? That could spell doom again for you. I like the Okla pick.
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Posted by KasperNV
4 years ago

Going against Stanford again this week? That could spell doom again for you. I like the Okla pick.
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Posted by KasperNV
4 years ago

Going against Stanford again this week? That could spell doom again for you. I like the Okla pick.
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Posted by Smartmoney79
4 years ago

Texas 7-0 ats after losing by double digits at home.
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Posted by StevenGA1011
4 years ago

Yea he needs to change it to 4-pack or quad-play maybe... also I gotta go the other way in this first one. It will probably be at the half by the time I wake up but hopefully I flip on to a big lead -- Auburn -35
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Posted by Gbobgunn
4 years ago

Anybody else uncomfortable with the double entendre in the title of this article? :)
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Posted by SNOOPDEVILLE
4 years ago

Heavy rains in Chestnut Hill For the BC/ND game. Be careful..
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Posted by bilsfn15
4 years ago

jimmy...like all your picks but Fla and MSU...love ND this weekend, true frosh starting for BC and they haven't looked well on offense at all...Kentucky is just really bad, so i can't take UF seriously yet...i still think Bama is the best team in the nation and i think they prove it this weekend....Ohio State wins by at least 3 td's
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Posted by jimmygo89
4 years ago

"And last week Notre Dame’s corners were swatting at those fade passes he loves to throw like midgets trying to reach the string dangling from the basement light bulb". Great Line!! With you on Okie...one of the better plays of the weekend. Who knows what USC is gonna do. Their defense is horrible. They barely scraped by Hawaii, Minnesota and Virginia....STAY AWAY from this game I have a lean toward Stanford and the points. It's a lot of points and Oregon might be faster, but Stanford is tougher! There are a few other lines out there that look tasty: Ohio State is a machine this year with a much matured Terrell Pryor. They should destroy Illinois and cover the 16.5 easily. I like NC State and Michigan State getting points at home. Florida +8, they seem to have found there stride. They crushed a pretty good Kentucky team last week. 8 points is quite a bit and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Gators win outright. Notre Dame -3 @ BC. BC is just bad. They simply have no offense. Good Luck to all!
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Posted by bilsfn15
4 years ago

gotta love the over in auburn/ULM...love when spreads are more then 4 td's and the over/under is around 50
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Posted by cantex48
4 years ago

michigan...pretty sure,LSU,and NC state(getting points,thanks,I'll take em!
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Posted by codlocks
4 years ago

Stanford and Ohio State are only 2 I know of
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Posted by HogPicker
4 years ago

What six teams are undefeated ATS so far this year?
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Posted by codlocks
4 years ago

Rule #75 of betting: Never take a team you spell wrong. The Barn could name the score if they wanted to, but I think MONROE does score some and cover
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Top Response

Posted by bilsfn15
4 years ago

"gotta love the over in auburn/ULM...love when spreads are more then 4 td's and the over/under is around 50"