College four-play: Week 14 college football picks

At the start of the year I told you that I’d probably be somewhere around .500 by the time end of the season rolled around.

 

Turns out that was my best prediction of the year.

 

After adding a couple of alleged bonus picks to the card last week I went 2-4 and brought my record to a tidy 27-26-1 heading into Championship Week.  If nothing else, you can’t say I didn’t deliver what I said I would.  And I apologize for that.

 

I still have one week left to try and totally redeem myself so let’s jump into the games. Thanks for reading for another season and taking the time to comment. Good luck with your plays and remember that drinking everything and betting everything do not go together like rum and egg nog during bowl season.

 

Houston vs. East Carolina (+2.5, 70.5)

 

When it comes to scoring points, the Cougs have ‘em all beat. Not Texas nor Boise State nor Florida averaged more than 44.9 points this season. So take my advice on this one – play the under.  

 

ECU has already conceded it won’t be able to keep up in a shootout with Houston over 60 minutes so the Pirates hope they can control the clock and keep things tight. They have the balanced offense to do it and Houston’s underestimated, though inconsistent, defense will make them earn their first downs.  

 

ECU’s respectable defense just needs to hang on and pray it can stall Houston just enough that the Pirates are ahead when the clock winds down.

 

Pick: Under 70.5

 

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh (+2, 58)

 

Who needs a championship game when you have schedule makers like this? The nerds can give themselves a pat on the back for coming up with the equation that brought these two teams together to close out the season.

 

As for the outcome, I think the oddsmakers got it right too: This one’s basically a toss-up.

 

I’m taking Pitt due to the home-field factor and because all the pressure falls on Cincy.  Imagine if you go 11-0 to start the season only to end up at a bowl game in El Paso named after Brut aftershave or a gimmick bowl in Toronto in a half empty stadium? That would sting.  

 

Pick: Pitt +2

 

Florida vs. Alabama (5.5, 41)

 

When you are so drunk you fall asleep at the wheel at a green light and then can only be woken up in momentary increments of consciousness, you probably should not be driving.

 

The DUI arrest of Florida star defensive end Carlos Dunlap doesn’t come at a great time. Then again, it doesn’t matter too much because the rest of Florida’s defense also happens to be amazing.

 

Bama’s defense is pretty good too in case you haven’t noticed. I’m seeing a low-scoring scrap that even goes to overtime.

 

Pick: Bama +5.5

 

Georgia Tech vs. Clemson (pick ‘em, 56.5)

 

I guess last week’s sloppy loss to crappy Georgia is the reason the Bumble Bees weren’t favored here. But Clemmy fell to a crappy South Carolina team too and here we are at the ACC Championship game.

 

Rain is in the forecast for Tampa and you gotta think that favors the second-leading rushing team in the nation.

 

Pick: Georgia Tech  

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Posted by madulamaximus
5 years ago

i meant (HEAR) broke ppl lol
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Posted by madulamaximus
5 years ago

SSSSHHHHHHHH wait!...............listen..............I HERE BROKE PEOPLE.!!!!!! Doobie....brother.....you smoked the wrong doobie when you wrote that long story. You analyze a TEAM ......when you need to analyze....TEAM(S). You got tunnle vision drooling over TEBOW..and forgot BAMA was on a mission TOO!.....And watch those numbers they can be decieving.LOL
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Posted by investments4you
5 years ago

Well I said Bama 27-20... 47 points,, but it was 32-13,, so 45 points, either way, Bama SU and the Over,, nice pick sir,
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Posted by nc1capper
5 years ago

kidkozak,, better come back and say you are sorry, probably already long gone tho, great call on Bama,,under for ECU-houston to was sweet
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Posted by madulamaximus
5 years ago

WHO DA MAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BAMA LOOKIN GOOD AS LONG AS THE ONE MAN SHOW TEBOW DONT EAT A CAN OF SPINACH!!!!!! AND RIGHT NOW, HE AINT LOOKIN LIKE POPEYE. LOL
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Posted by madulamaximus
5 years ago

The pace of this game spells OVER BABY!!! That means 65% of yall are DONE!!!! AND SO FAR SO GOOD ON THE MONEYLINE!!!!!!BAMA!!!!
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Posted by madulamaximus
5 years ago

BAM!!!!! and THE OVERS!!!!!!!! $500.00 to win $2,100.00= $2,600.00 payout 9am) 4-pick winner!!!!! im rollin
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Posted by PGram13
5 years ago

With yuy on all, cept I took Houston! BOL! On all your picks!!!!
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Posted by PGram13
5 years ago

BAMA + 5.5 , Texas -13.5 BOl Guys!
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Posted by madulamaximus
5 years ago

JON CAMBELL? Where is the other blog that read...........Im with stupid? See if your co-worker can get that back up. He mentioned some kind of contest and maybe my comment gave to much inside knowledge on why BAMA is going moneyline.
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Posted by jeffjames
5 years ago

Must be a joke the under on hou is the only one that will work. ARE YOU KIDDING with those picks
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Posted by doobiebrother
5 years ago

My worst CFB season (so far) in many years, but still showing a profit (no time to add) and 7-0 L7, plus 5* plays 5-1. CFB Game of the Year goes today. 6* Florida (-5) over Alabama (GOY) – I’ve known which game would be my CFB Game of the Year since midseason and was just praying I would get a single digit number, and was shocked when it opened 4.5 (I bet it Sunday night). Florida is a great team. Every single unit (QB, WR, RB, OL, DL, LB, DB, ST) is best in the SEC and top 10 in CFB. The defense is the best in the history of CFB. They returned the entire 2 deep from last year’s “D” that was #9 in yards allowed and #4 in points allowed and held an Oklahoma offense that was averaging 51.1 (62.3 previous 6) to 14 in BCS title game. This year they lead CFB in both yardage and scoring “D” and held LSU to 3 in Baton Rouge. Loss of DE Dunlap hurts but backup Trattou has played in 37 games with 14 TFL and 5 sacks and was the regular starter on ‘07 BCS title team. Florida’s offense is #12 despite the fact that they’ve mostly sat on the ball all year. When you have the best “D” ever and the best OL in CFB, no need to open it up. You don’t need style points when you’re already ranked #1. Alabama’s mediocre offense has no chance. Just compare their yardage (291) vs. Auburn’s weak “D” to a few of the Tigers other opponents (WVU 509, Tenn 410, Ark 495, Ken 357, LSU 376, Miss 394). They scored only 12 at home vs. Tenn. Easy to predict both Florida and Bama to go undefeated due to great “D” and relatively easy schedules, but it’s Bama that returned only 4 starters on offense. They are not even in the ball park with last year’s Tide offense, especially on the OL where they lost 3 starters including 2 1st round NFL picks. To put it mildly, Florida “D” is a HUGE mismatch over Tide offense. Bama “D” is tough but will be on the field all day and Florida’s 318 lb avg. OL will have its way just like they did last year when they scored 31 (without Percy Harvin). I do 11 stat matchups and Gators have edge in 10 including huge edges in pass efficiency, 3rd down conversions, and net punting. They are #10 in KO returns (25.9) and Bama #116 in KO coverage (25.6). Florida has won 22 straight and 28 of 29 with 27 of the wins by double digits. ANY game, anywhere, vs. any team is a big play if they are favored by less than a TD. 3* Arizona/USC Under (50) – Trojan offense is truly down posting yardage totals of 321, 258, 334, and 336 L4. Arizona has done a better job than any Pac 10 team holding Trojans down holding them to 20, 17, and 20 the L3 years with all 3 going under the total. USC won’t get much on offense but are 58-2 SU at home and their “D” will keep them in it, especially with Arizona missing RB Grigsby and WR Douglas. 3* Houston (-2.5) over ECU – Pirates will have some success using run game to keep Houston offense off field, but their pass “D” sucks (#88). Visitor is 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in series and Cougars have won L2 at Greenville by 17 and 14. 3* Texas (-14) over Nebraska – Huskers offense is pitiful (269 YPG L6) and #5 Texas “D” will be pumped to atone for poor showing at A&M. Nebraska “D” is very good but no way they shut down McCoy all day and it will likely only take 21 to cover. 2* Parlay UConn ML (-300) & Under (49) – Heavy snow and 14 mph winds are forecast. Last 2 meetings here were both in bad weather and UConn notched 15-10 and 22-15 wins. Pays +155. 2* WVU (+2) over Rutgers – Hard to figure this number as Mounties would be playing for BCS game and Big East title if not for bizarre reversal TD at Cincy. WVU “D” finally got healthy and last 2 weeks have held Pitt’s #22 scoring offense to 19 and Cincy (#6) to 24 (17 without gift TD). Rutgers has played incredibly easy schedule (#108 overall, easiest of BCS teams) and has lost to the Mounties 14 straight times. This would be bigger play if WVU had something to play for, but Gator Bowl has made it crystal clear Mounties will get invite (due to previous fan turnouts) regardless of this week’s results. Very awkward for Big East if Cincy loses at Pitt as 11-1 Bearcats would be headed to Papa Johns or Meineke Car Care Bowl. Gator Bowl ends association with Big East this year and only cares about the money.
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Posted by vacation
5 years ago

Any game that is a close matchup (CIN/PIT, ALA/FLA) has a potential to go OT, I bet the over.
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Posted by ronnie101
5 years ago

Safer bet is the over in the fla/bama game
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Posted by StevenGA1011
5 years ago

RUT -2.5 CIN/PIT UNDER 58.5 HOU -2.5 HOU/ECU UNDER 69 CAL/WAS UNDER 58 GT +1
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Posted by oaktownpics
5 years ago

and the final scores of the games is gators go win 27_20 over alabama. the next one is 45_39 cincy bearcats over pitt.the next one is 42_21 texas longhorns over the cornhuskers.and the last one is 34_27 fresno state bulldogs over the illinois fighting bitches.
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Posted by oaktownpics
5 years ago

remeber the four picks are gators fresno state texas and the cincy bearcats.
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Posted by oaktownpics
5 years ago

i like gators giving5 in a half and i think the score is going to be 27_20 gators over the alabama.and i herd that mark ingram the alabama crimson tide running back got hurt a practice.and i also will take the bearcats over pitt.and i also got texas over nebraska giving up 14 points and the score is going to be 42_21 texas longhorns over the nebraska cornhuskers.and they called nebraska cornhuskers because they play like corn and the play like a crap full of garbage.and take fresnostate over illinois.i say the score is going to be 34_27 fresno state bulldogs over the illinois fighting bitches.
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Posted by investments4you
5 years ago

I like Bama as well,, 27-21
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Posted by LonghornHoosier
5 years ago

dam up the behind? self editing? WTF
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Posted by LonghornHoosier
5 years ago

yes, you are horrible...which mafia don did you darn up the behind to get this gig?
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Posted by kidkozak
5 years ago

Jon, YOU ARE THE WORST HANDICAPPER THAT I'VE EVER READ!!!! You can't pick your nose let alone 4 teams! Give it up man! Cincy Florida
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Posted by BradsBargains
5 years ago

All look good except Florids Wins 31-21 I'm taking Florida LARGE $$$$$$
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Top Response

Posted by PGram13
5 years ago

"With yuy on all, cept I took Houston! BOL! On all your picks!!!!"