NFL Underdogs: Week 9 pointspread predictions

I’ve never understood my dislike for Tom Brady. Is it the eight-figure salary, the smoking-hot wife or the cameos on Entourage?

Probably all of the above, but those things are just part of the overall reason why I’m no fan of Brady.

He was easier to root for in the beginning. He worked his butt off in college to hold off golden boy Drew Hensen and he worked even harder in the pros to ready himself when he got his shot.

But now he’s a different guy. He’s someone who’s grown accustomed to preferential treatment. It was revolting to see him point at the back judge in Week 4 against the Ravens - when Terrell Suggs almost hit him below the knee - and signal for a flag.

“We’re (quarterbacks) holding onto the ball. We’re unprotected. You’re sitting there defenseless… They deserve to get flagged.”

That’s what Brady said after the game. We here at underdogs can’t pull for a guy who has to take a silver spoon out of his mouth before he can defend himself.

I took the Dolphins out of principle in staff picks this week, but they’re not one of my favorite plays of the week. Even though the Fish always seem to give the Patriots headaches, their piss-poor secondary could be in for a long day against New England’s passing game.

I’ve got this feeling that double-digit dogs are going to start paying (4-2 last week). I took all of them this week except for the Redskins. Cleveland and Washington are two teams I won’t back regardless of the pointspread.

Time for this week’s picks:

Arizona Cardinals (+3) at Chicago Bears

The Bears didn’t win last week so much as Cleveland flat out lost it. There isn’t much of a big play element to Chicago’s offense. Most of this team’s scoring drives come off turnovers or 15-play variety.

The Bears are 3-0 straight up and against the spread at Soldier Field, but all of a sudden the Cards can’t lose on the road.

Kurt Warner’s confidence won’t be diminished after last week’s five interceptions. Most of those came off deflections and Warner’s never been a quarterback who lacks confidence.

Chicago owns just one quality win this year and that only happened because Pittsburgh kicker Jeff Reed missed a couple gimmes. Arizona, on the other hand, has wins over the Giants and Texans.

The weather looks pretty good, which means the Cards’ passing game shouldn’t be slowed down because of Mother Nature.

Pick: Cards

Houston Texans (+9) at Indianapolis Colts

This might be the biggest game in the Texans’ history. They’ve never been two games above .500, so this is unchartered territory for them.

Meanwhile the Colts are off to a 7-0 start for the fourth time since 2005. They also have a huge game against the Patriots next weekend on NBC.

Losing tight end Owen Daniels will hurt Houston, but Matt Schaub trusts his receivers and won’t hesitant to dump it off to a back. This offense is good enough to keep pace with Peyton Manning’s crew.

Pick: Texans

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (+3)

I understand why the Ravens are the favorites in this game, but that doesn’t mean I have to agree with it.

The Bengals can run the football and their defense can get key stops. That’s two things this team couldn’t do in years past.

Cincy’s coming off its bye which means its players are well rested and have been thinking about the Ravens non-stop for two weeks.

And, as good as Baltimore’s defense looked against Denver, I’m not ready to say the unit is back to business. The Bengals will go vertical and expose Baltimore’s sluggish secondary.

Pick: Bengals

Last week: 2-1

Season record: 12-12-1

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Posted by loaded45
4 years ago

Good job Ashton, nice picks.
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Posted by ace7
4 years ago

Brady blows. I hope his career is over soon.....
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Posted by doobiebrother
4 years ago

NFL 17-19 (-6.1). After rough start to season, hope to make it 3 straight nice Sundays today. All trends ATS unless otherwise noted. 3* Chargers/Giants Over (48) – The problem with the Giants has been the defense, especially the secondary. 4 of their games have been against Skins, Chiefs, Bucs, and Raiders who rank 28, 27, 31, and 29 in scoring and 24, 30, 28, and 32 in total offense. In the other 4 games they’ve allowed 388 YPG and 35.8 PPG. SD QB Rivers leads the #4 pass offense and Manning will answer with # 6 pass offense, and welcomes return of deep threat WR Manningham. The "over" is 5-0-1 SD road games, 7-1 SD as RD 6<, 5-2-1 NYG TY, and 5-1-1 NYG in Nov. 2* Jaguars (-7) over Chiefs – Over the last 5 years in NFL the points matter only 18% of the time. In other words the team that wins SU covers the spread 82% of the time and vice-versa. Chiefs are 2-18 SU in L20, and desperate Jags should get the home win. 2* Bengals (ML +125) over Ravens – Cincy is for real and if not for freak late bomb vs. Broncos, they would be 6-2. Carson Palmer has finally back to his old self and I like the matchup of Bengals’ WRs vs. suspect Raven DBs. Baltimore has allowed 28.7 PPG in 3 road games and is 2-4 SU & ATS at Cincy. 2* Packers (-9.5) over Bucs – TB is 1-6 this year and 0-7 at home, and rookie QB Freeman bound to make some mistakes in 1st start. Packers have allowed 31 sacks, but they are a different team as 2 key OL return and Bucs have just 11 sacks. TB allowing 63.3% completions and 8.3 YPA and Rodgers should carve them up. GB has taken care of business vs. inferior opponents on road, trouncing the Rams and Browns by combined 67-20.
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Posted by StevenGA1011
4 years ago

WAS +9 HOU/IND UNDER 50 CAR +12.5 TEN/SF OVER 40.5 DAL/PHI UNDER 50
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Posted by heinmanIam
4 years ago

Miami getting 10.5? AFC East rivalry? Is Vegas losing their mind. Thinking thats the best dog (with pts) of the day.
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Posted by west44
4 years ago

houston is solid for sure might even win su imo the other 2 are tough , bears at home solid and ravens getting swept unlikely , covering the 3 maybe so , gl like eagles a lot tonight myself .....
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Posted by AChigurh
4 years ago

"holier than you" type..... What a joke... Like you guys got any clue about him. Ya, Listen to how the media portrays him. Im sure thats accurate and educated way to form an opinion on someone. At least Grewal had a direct quote, geesh
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Posted by heinmanIam
4 years ago

Ashton.......have to agree........so much Bull sh---t with Brady and Belichek. Being a Jets fanatic I naturally have to hate the Patriots. However, after his "injury" and nonsense prior to Superbowl with Giants, I lost all respect for his cause and resiliance. I can see a QB being upset at a purposeful shot to injure them, but then again, this is football and the NFL. Go play friggin Golf if you want to be a box. Like the Cards pik outright win Like the Texans with points Not so sure about the Bungles BOLA
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Posted by 1football101
4 years ago

Good article on Brady...he is a crybaby......it would not be so bad but if you look at the highlights around the league you will see other QB's getting lit up ....and no flag I am a Saints season ticket holder and just last week Drew Brees was hit in the chin with a helmet and fumbled and the Falcons recovered it for a touchdown.where was the flag on that play for leading with the helmet??????? I think the Brady rule suck.......this is football, let them play
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Posted by Gator11
4 years ago

Picks may go 2-1 again this week,like the card here! GLTA
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Posted by getcarter
4 years ago

Like the picks, and I am now liking ATL even more just as you stated 'non-movement'. Looking more into the Eagles, but their Jeckly/Hyde persona scares me... As for Brady...On the field, Elite. BUT, seeing him in line getting on the plane to UK (only one in the suit) when everyone else appears to be in team sweats???? Nuff said! Official douche status in my book.
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Posted by Rvrshark
4 years ago

I agree with the whole Brady thing 100%. A lot of athletes achcieve success and still remain cool people. This guy has let all of the people sweating his balls (like some of the guys here) go to his head. As far as the picks go, I'm all over the Texans +290 moneyline.
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Posted by bikinibabesrbes
4 years ago

It's the "the smoking-hot wife "....!!!!
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Posted by BIGMELO15
4 years ago

DON'T BE SUPRISED IF TOM BRADY BLASTS THE DOLPHINS SECONDARY WITH IN LEAST 300 YARDS PASSING IN LIGHTS UP THE SCOREBOARD. AFTER ALL THE garbage THE MEDIA AND JOEY PORTER SAYS.
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Posted by surmountall
4 years ago

san diego ml giants suck no buress they been sorry ever since
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Posted by shrynn
4 years ago

Picks, shmicks....if I have to read one more post where a moron doesn't know the difference between the words "your" and "you're" or "there" "they're" and "their", I think I'll barf! It's hard to take anyone's opinion seriously if you don't know 2nd grade grammar. You can bash the article writers (and many times it's deserved) but shut up if you don't know how to spell or use words.
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Posted by BiancaNatalia
4 years ago

All qb's are the crybaby's of the team simple as that so Ashton is right to a certain extent so let him have his opinion as for his picks I have them too along with Bengals and Cardinals money line. Not 100% on the Bengals, but I like both teams 50/50/
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Posted by chau1027
4 years ago

Ilike to challange the underdog picker My pick is Tampabay best bet reason Greenbay is 1-6su at tb also Carolina is 8-0 against the New Orlean at New Olean.good luck brothers.
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Posted by JFS
4 years ago

Bang on assessment of Brady. Interesting that you didn't mention Brady's on-field fingerpointing at teammates for dropped passes early in the season. Brady was pathetic as he openly berated teammates for missing passes that were often poorly thrown.....not accepting any personal responsibility for the failed passes. Brady was pathetic in the Pats/Broncos game, missing wide open receivers with horrendous passes. You didn't see any of the receivers berating Brady or pointing fingers......they have too much class and play like teammates, unlike Brady. i used to like to the guy but he has lost all my respect after seeing his childish antics this year.
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Posted by Ashton_Grewal
4 years ago

Hey fellas, Thanks for the comments. I think we're all digging a little too deep into my Brady bashing. I try and keep the column loose and funny whenever possible. I live on the East Coast and I'm forced to watch a good deal of New England games. I think that means you'll either love the guy or hate him. I don't really have a good reason for disliking Tom Terrific. I never really liked the Patriots. Still, as I said in the column, you have to appreciate how hard he worked to get where he is today. I think we've all seen those pictures of him from the combine coming out of Michigan. I don't want to give the impression that I'm a player hater. I know I stirred up some emotions when I wrote that the Shaq experience wouldn't work out in Cleveland. The Brady rules seemed to be the hot topic of the week after Joey Porter chipped in his two cents. I had an opinion and I thought I'd donate it since this is a column. I have to agree with the posters who say Brady isn't the only player looking at the refs for flags on multiple plays. That still doesn't mean I have to like it either. Let's get back to the talk about picks tomorrow. What's the best bet on the board on Sunday? I find it surprising that the public is hammering Atlanta but that line has dropped to -9. What's going on there? I think I'm going to go large on the Eagles. I'd love to hear everyone's thoughts. Good luck.
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Posted by Kubrick
4 years ago

Retarded article about Brady, did you go college and take any writing classes? No wonder you write for a gambling forum Hemingway. Take a night class or pick up a copy of idiots guide to writing.
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Posted by Wizerguy
4 years ago

I like them also,and im pretty good.
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Posted by n2o82
4 years ago

Pay attention dude! Everyone calls for fouls on every play, in every sport that offers penalties. Just because they promulgated a rule the year after Brady loses his season, he is labeled a baby. He didn't ask for the rule, the NFL did as a league to protect every QB from losing their season, and thus the teams from losing theirs. Just because you're fat and have a small pecker, and wack it to pics of his wife, you hate him. He is still entirely focused on football, and no matter what you say or write that isn't gonna change. The taste of your hair gel should be bothering you by now, so get your head out of your behind! Stop hating and start doing what you are paid to do... write about Football. You look like a jealous clown posting this article!!!
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Posted by OnlyGod
4 years ago

Yeah your right it's not like he just missed a whole season because of a late hit. Your just jealous, also no one pays to see you do anything.
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Posted by Lou
4 years ago

Ash I like those picks. Lou.
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Top Response

Posted by Ashton_Grewal
4 years ago

"Hey fellas, Thanks for the comments. I think we're all digging a little too deep into my Brady bashing. I try and keep the column loose and funny whenever possible. I live on the East Coast and I'm forced to watch a good deal of New England g..."