Barstool Sports: Five reasons why I never win

You've probably read Barstool Sports, a kick ass sports blog with an East Coast focus. If you haven't, you should. The better news is that it's author, El Presidente, is a fellow degenerate and he's joining us on Covers every week to give us his betting thoughts.

I have a question. Do people have fun gambling? Because I don't. I'm not sure if I've ever really had fun gambling. Sure I'm addicted to the rush and it makes watching sports feel like doing coke, but I don't enjoy it. Does everybody feel that way? Like does everybody bet way too much money and then get sick when they lose and not sleep and shit?

I always assumed the answer is yes. I mean what's the point of gambling if you don't bet more than you can afford? Where is the honor in that? Anyway after roughly 25 years of pain and suffering I think I've narrowed down why I never win and consequently hate it so much.

I'm an action junkie

When I start gambling I don't just bet on the things I like. I start betting on everything. I'm talking horse racing, baseball, football, five-inning lines, Dancing With the Stars, American Idol etc. If I can find a line for it I'll bet it. It's simple mathematics that you get vigged to death doing that, but I can't help myself. 

Trust me I've given myself the lecture about betting with control thousands of times. I mean you should hear the speeches I give to myself at 4 a.m. when I can't sleep and am staring at the ceiling wanting to smother myself with my pillow. It makes Knute Rockne look like a pussy. But when kickoff is a minute a way, it's like a little Martian climbs into my head and takes over. Half the time I just black out and when I wake up I have every single game on the board. This has been happening for like 20 years now.  

Half Time Lines

I guess this could go with point No. 1, huh? I can't stay away from half time lines. I'm like a rat that keeps getting shocked by cheese over and over and over again, and never learns.

I mean how many times do I have to watch the first half of a football game only to see a totally different second half before I realize they aren't related? Seven zillion times? I mean the "hey they couldn't move the ball in the first half so they obviously won't be able to move it in the 2nd half" logic just doesn't work. Somehow though, your brain never seems to be able to process this in time.

I Bet Scared

I'm 32 years old. I'm about to get married in a week. By all accounts I shouldn't be gambling anymore. F@#%, I shouldn't even be looking at the lines. Unfortunately to quote Professor Petrovsky "we  can't run from who we are.  Our destiny chooses us."  

So now I just bet scared. I'm always petrified of losing because I need every cent to pay for real-life shit like rent and my wedding, and crap like that. Dropping thousands and just eating spaghetti for a month and not going out doesn't cut it anymore.

I always end up killing myself by not betting things I like when I'm down or chopping my bets in half because I'm afraid to lose. Obviously without fail I always win my smallest bets and the games I don't touch always come in. Then if I happen to get up I go back to normal and start betting on everything with higher amounts. It's a vicious cycle when you think about it and may explain why I've haven't collected in two years.

The NFL is Impossible

I don't care what anybody says. The NFL is impossible to bet on. Impossible.

Anybody who says they know what's going to happen is a liar. Not only is it impossible but it's beyond impossible. Like I know it should be a coin flip whether you win or lose any particular game but it's not.   It's 80/20 you lose. Don't ask me how that's possible but it just is. Like you could bet both sides and you'd middle yourself 87 percent of the time.

Money Ain't Real

This is probably the No. 1 reason why I never win. Money ain't real. Like if I got to Vegas, I'm not throwing down a dime on 10 different games because you'd need 10K cash and I'd probably shit myself doing that.   

But not a week goes by where I don't have at least 7 or 8K in play at the same time. It's sickening when you think about it. I mean I freak out on spending 100 bucks at dinner but I'll drop a thousand on a game like it ain't no thing. 

Why? Because you don't have to give the cash over. I swear if I had to physically give the money to my bookie before I bet, it would be like the best thing ever to happen to me. But as long as I'm playing with monopoly money I'm going to keep getting my ass kicking and wanting to murder myself every Sunday night.

So there you have it - My top 5 reasons why I haven't collected in over three years. 

Now Covers told me not to give my picks out anymore which I think is a disservice to all the readers out there so I'm going to ignore them and give you my mortal lock of the week. Just one game that is guaranteed to win. 

Now I know what you're thinking: Why are we going to listen to the guy who just said he hasn't collected in three years? Well the answer is because I bet 9,000 games every week. If I could just pick the games I liked I'd probably own Covers by now.

Michigan vs. Indiana total 53.5

You know that website Cum Fiesta? Well this is going to be a scoring Fiesta.   

The Pick - Over 53.5

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Posted by K4ngur13
3 years ago

Great article. Story of my life. Although I am 16-2 in 2 weeks of NFL though. Thanks.
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Posted by bej0101
3 years ago

very very funny...and true
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Posted by ShuffleList
3 years ago

My Rules... 1. Don't put all your eggs in one basket. 2. Don't follow the hype in Championships, bet on whoever wants it more. 3. Never bet more than half your bankroll each day. 4. Stop after making/winning at least 2 units per day. 5. Patience, patience, patience. There will always be more to wager tomorrow. 6. Only look for the good bets. Scrap the ones on the fence. 7. No bet is ever a sure bet. 8. Be careful, not confident. 9. Go with your gut feeling, not your initial one = don't believe the hype. 10. For Parlays, don't exceed a 2-play combo unless it's a Tease. MLB Rules... 1. In the World Series, bet on the team with the lesser Run to Hit ratio for the season. 2. Never bet the Home team -1.5. 3. Look for Over plays on Mondays/Fridays, or when the matchups/series change. 4. Never take Under 8.5. MLB Trends & Best Picks... 1. Look for a consensus 65% or greater only. Can take -1.5 for those picks only. 2. If consensus is 55-64% only take them if they lost previous day's game, or if they lost the 1st game in the series. 3. If consensus is greater than 70% and the team is playing an Away game, it's most-likely hype due to the Pitcher. Only take them if it's against a team with a losing record. 4. Eastern teams traveling to West Coast tend to lose 1st game in series (a trend I picked up during the regular season). NFL Tips... 1. Big game? Next week is a loss. Esp if Away. 2. MNF (or Thurs) ...favor underdog Home team. NBA Tips... 1. Mon-Wed ...favor the Home team. 2. Mon-Wed ...2nd Half Under is a good play. 3. Thurs ...bet with the House. 4. Look for the Home team wanting the win more on Mondays for 2nd Half of the Season when they're underdogs. 5. Look for the Under in the Playoff games. Ex: LAL@Orl went into OT in 2 different games and still didn't go Over. That's all i got. They're just some things i've noticed over the years. Take it for what it's worth. If you find that you lost you have to ask yourself, did i stick to the Rules? Chances are, you didn't. Happens to me all the time due to greed... GLTA!
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Posted by WarlordAOS
3 years ago

Hilarious!But you said it. Stop betting on EVERYthing...at 1pm Sunday pick ONE team NOT two parlays AND a three team tease ONE at 4pm then see what happens at 8....not foolproof but our winning% will go UP!
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Posted by train451
3 years ago

Great comments from author and everyone, I've been there too. Idub004 thank for putting your soul in it, your comments could change someone's life. That's why I like covers. They give you the action without risking the money. They have contest to test your picking ability against others. I was lucky enough to reach 11 wins in the streak survivor, and received a hat, that I'm very proud of. I'm currently back up to 8 wins, I hope to get to 13 to get the jacket. I played the office pools for the action and fun, I picked good enough to come in 4th place in the 2009 NFL preseason with BetJamaica, but I didn't receive the $400.00 4th place prize, because I don't have an account with BetJamaica. I think that sucks. BetJamaica can afford to pay out the prize money to those that legitamately placed in the top 10 no matter if they have an account or not. BetJamaica should get it right. They could make it where the $400.00 is like free play and I can't make a withdrawal until I bet $400.00 3X rollover, if I have anything left after 3X rollover.
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Posted by stussy
3 years ago

bet 9000 games a weeks..? no wonder you are never win.. just always remember betting is just for FUN.. bet less and you will win.. ( and i dont think NFL is hard bet for me... is just MLB money line killing me..and thanks for those 5 reason.. i will keep in mind..)
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Posted by timemaster
3 years ago

it is nice to laugh at the man on the mirror. garbage that was me!!!
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Posted by griponit17
3 years ago

FUK IT TAKE GIANTS -6.5 REDSKINS-6.5 COLTS MLB +125 PITTS -4 PANTHERS+9 ENJOY WINNING I PICKED ALL THE AWAY TEAMS TO WIN TODAY AND LOOK
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Posted by Madic_Isbiganov
3 years ago

I will always remember the movie in cumfiesta.com where the girl says to the guys plz dont juice in my mouth... but you know what the guys fcking comes in her mouth and she almost kill the guys in front in the camera... what a classic BOL bubby I love your article
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Posted by elio82
3 years ago

dont try to mush my red sox play. just because I have a five team parley and u dont. You ain't no kidergarden capper!!
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Posted by Boocoop
3 years ago

LOL...this is too funny homie...I'm sure we all can realate...GL wth your marriage...peace
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Posted by thedegenerate
3 years ago

definately the best article at covers in a while. i loved it.
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Posted by DannyMo73
3 years ago

Great read. I feel your pain.
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Posted by tdeezy30
3 years ago

i have 2 admit.....i feel the same way every time i post a play on here....it loses i dont post...i win....must be the covers jinx...lol great article tho!!!
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Posted by ikid2groove029
3 years ago

Every game is 50/50 depends if you can win the big bets... thats what it comes down 2... never chase when your down... trust me i been there, everyone has gone into a funk in some week... 4-5-6-7 game losing streak... key is never 2 chase and double down... just shut it down for the week and take your lost !!
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Posted by ikid2groove029
3 years ago

9000 games Wtf ?
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Posted by macattack
3 years ago

Finally an article that hits home. I've won my fair share of money from all venues. In the last two years I lost 50k. Long story but you have to hit rock bottom before you can finally be humble. I still bet, more for entertainment. Almost lost my wife, and my life......I told my son " don't be like me, but learn from me!
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Posted by Blitz35
3 years ago

first off..the nfl is not 'that' hard to beat! The fact you cant find a way to win and generate a profit is brcause you're a degenerate! If you're up at 4am wondering who to bet on and wondering what lines are available..you have many many issues! 9000 bets a week is about 8995 more than youm should have! Start there, maybe it will raise your chances. Bottom line is..if you are a degenareate and you cant control who to bet on and how much..you'll be in the red guaranteed! Dont say the nfl is impossible to beat...perhaps from your point of view..based on your habits and tendencies, it is, but to the smart player who's in this for a profit and not the simple thrill of having action on every game and event and quarter and halftime and period, the nfl is the best! We all have our strong points..but to bet half assed on anything, without limitations and rules is the surest way to lose..and thats the only guarantee in this industry!!! Good luck..but after 20 years..its not luck you need..it's a new startegy and help with control!
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Posted by serrano2208
3 years ago

just remember this about gambling. NO MATTER WHAT, what ever we win is JUST A LOAN..weather it be the following week when we lose our winnings before we can even collect it and we get a call from our bookie sayin, "hey bud im jus gunna hold on to this since your maxed out already on monday night football" and we are beggin for an increase. Or if its a month or 2 down the line when we lose everything we can and max out 3 or 4 lines. gambling is the dumbest thing in the world but yet as im writing this i kno that the next thing im gunna do is sign into my account and drop a dime on ole miss tonight. love it
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Posted by Phor20
3 years ago

the NFL is not that hard. baseball is impossible if you are an action junkie. in football, just bet for the team you WANT to lose and you'll usually end up winning....
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Posted by mvp12331233
3 years ago

Good Read....now back to the capping!
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Posted by mvp12331233
3 years ago

Great stuff!!!
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Posted by aCTNATURAL
3 years ago

last wk, i pass up on my #1 NFL pick ARZ+3' over JaX and use my cousin's #1pick Tenn-7 over Houston...in other wordz...dude, i would personally pay you for all the teams u pick (like)... just so i can fade you =D
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Posted by cts99
3 years ago

First off if you gamble for action you will never win i mean never. I see the guys on the forum talk about every tv game to bet,no wonder they lose.I pick the teams and the games i want to bet.I play for money not fun.The pros so far this year 5-1. I play overs not point spreads there to hard and they trap the public. Pick out six or seven good teams in the nfl and watch what they do week to week and moniter the totals you will get a feel. I only bet on strong teams with great qbs. I do not bet on bad teams. If you can do that you will win money. Let the rest of the fools pay why you collect. Do not let this stuff control you life. If you lose pay and go get them next week do not chase.
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Posted by Tyler_Reed
3 years ago

I quit the NFL it's ridiculous --- funny article - funny b/c it's soooo true . . .but we keep coming back for more!
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Top Response

Posted by ikid2groove029
3 years ago

"Every game is 50/50 depends if you can win the big bets... thats what it comes down 2... never chase when your down... trust me i been there, everyone has gone into a funk in some week... 4-5-6-7 game losing streak... key is never 2 chase and double..."