NFL road teams, Under profitable in third meetings

Jason Logan
The San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks will meet for the third time this season when the NFC West rivals butt heads in the NFC Championship Game Sunday.

A trilogy of games is not that uncommon, with football bettors witnessing one three-part series already this postseason between the San Diego Chargers and Denver Broncos in the AFC Divisional Round.

The Chargers lost 24-17 to the Broncos but, thanks to a recovered onside kick and a field goal, the Bolts managed to cover as 8-point road underdogs - a trend that is rounding into form over the last 10 seasons.

Home teams are just 7-7 SU and 5-9 ATS in the third meeting between NFL teams since the 2004-05 season. Favorites have fared a little better, going 9-5 SU and 7-7 ATS in that span. The Seahawks sit as 3.5-point home favorites for Sunday’s game.

And for those thinking that familiarity leans toward the defense, you may be on to something. Teams have posted a 6-8 O/U record in their third installment in that 10-year frame, including San Diego and Denver playing Under the 55-point total last weekend.

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