Inside the Stats: Raptors sizzle since Christmas

Move aside, college football. The BCS era finally is over and with it our focus shifts to the hardwood where March Madness begins in less than 70 days.

Let’s take a look at what’s happening in hoops as we enter this weekend. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.

Show Me The Money


Pay close attention to teams that are hot and those who are not. Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend on either hot or cold streaks. 

Hot moneymakers (minimum seven results):
Creighton 8-0
Harvard 6-1-1
Hawaii 8-1
Kansas State 8-1
Utah 8-1-1
Wichita State 9-1

Not moneymakers:
Alabama 1-6
Boston College 0-7
Bradley 1-8
Colorado State 1-8-1
LSU 1-6
NC Wilmington 1-7-1
South Alabama 1-6


Dogmania

The best underdogs this college basketball season have been Dayton, Houston and Kent State, all 4-0.

The worst dogs have been Northwestern and Texas State, both 0-6.

LaSalle is nipping at their heels at 0-4.


Defense Rules

Here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin.  Look to ‘play on’ these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:

Defensive Field Goal Percentage –
1. Clemson 35.1
2. SMU 35.8
3. Iowa 36.2
4. San Diego State 36.3
5. Arizona 36.6

Rebounding Margin –
1. Quinnipiac +14.6
2. Arizona +13.4
3. Kentucky +13.3
4. Indiana +13.1
5. UAB +12.7

Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:

Scoring Defense –
1. Pacers 88.3
2. Bulls 92.0
3. Bobcats 95.8
4. Spurs 96.9
5. Raptors 97.1

Rebounding Margin –
1. Thunder +5.2
2. Warriors +4.4
3. Pacers +3.8
4. Grizzlies +3.6
5. Trailblazers +3.6


Not Again

NBA teams who have managed to pull an upset have been crashing back to earth with regularity this season.

That’s confirmed by the fact that teams off a SU underdog win are just 69-84-7 ATS overall, including 8-23-2 ATS when off back-to-back puppy wins.

When these same back-to-back upset winners have squared off against an opponent with a winning record they’ just about fallen off the map, going 2-13 SU and ATS.


Stat Of The Week


The Toronto Raptors are 8-0 ATS since Christmas.

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