Exposing the Top 25: Where the NCAAB polls went wrong
Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.
Most Underrated Top 25 Team: Villanova Wildcats (10-0 SU, 7-1-0 ATS)
The Wildcats shocked then No. 2 Kansas at the end of November and followed up with another upset over Iowa the next day. After a 73-52 home win over La Salle on Sunday, they move to 10-0 to start the season. They have won their last three games versus unranked opponents by an average margin of 21 points.
The Wildcats have been kind to their backers, covering the points in seven of eight contests this year. Villanova will face a tough challenge when they visit No. 2 ranked Syracuse on the 28th of December. Most Overrated Top 25 Team: Kansas Jayhawks (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS)
The might have Andrew Wiggins, but the Jayhawks have already been upset twice by unranked opponents, and lost on the road to No. 19 Florida. Their three losses gives them the lowest winning percentage of any of the Top 25 teams, and make them one of just two ranked teams with more than two losses.
Wiggins can't be blamed for the loss at Florida, with 26 points, 11 rebounds and a pair of blocks in a losing effort. He needs more help from his teammates, and that was never more clear than during a 21-0 Gators run, when Wiggins went over five minutes without a single touch. The schedule doesn't get any easier for Kansas, with their next game against Georgetown and then hosting San Diego State in the first week of January. Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked: Pittsburgh Panthers (10-0 SU, 3-5 ATS)
The Panthers are still undefeated with a 10-0 record, but have yet to face a ranked team. They face a tough Cincinnati team at a neutral site Tuesday night and they are being asked to cover a 5.5-point spread. A win tonight would almost surely push them into the Top 25 next week.