NFL Prop Shop: Week 11's best player prop bets
Covers Expert Sean Murphy opens the doors of the NFL Prop Shop in Week 11, giving you his favorite player prop picks for Sunday's action.
Most passing yards
Joe Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) vs. Josh McCown (Chicago Bears)
The Bears certainly didn't scale back the offense for veteran backup QB Josh McCown when he started against Green Bay two weeks ago, as he threw the ball 41 times for 272 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions in an upset win. I don't expect them to do so this week either, as McCown fills in for Jay Cutler, who remains hobbled with a groin injury.
It's no secret that Ravens QB Joe Flacco's production has taken a major hit this season, and perhaps reached a new low last Sunday, as he threw for only 140 yards in a narrow win over the Bengals. Against an opportunistic, ball-hawking Bears secondary, I don't expect to see Flacco sling it all over the field on Sunday afternoon.
Carson Palmer (Arizona Cardinals) vs. Chad Henne (Jacksonville Jaguars)
Yes, the Jaguars finally picked up their first win of the season last week, and scored 29 points in doing so, but that victory had little to do with the performance of QB Chad Henne. He threw for only 180 yards, no touchdowns, and two interceptions and won't find the going much easier against an underrated Cardinals defense this Sunday. With WR Justin Blackmon suspended, the Jags possess the definition of a pedestrian passing attack.
Few are paying much attention, but the Cardinals are playing winning football and QB Carson Palmer is steadily improving. Palmer has completed better than 60% of his passes in five straight games after topping that number only once in the first four contests this year. He's recorded passer ratings of 116 and 93.4 over the last two games and should be able to pick up where he left off against a weary Jaguars defense on Sunday.
Most rushing yards
Reggie Bush (Detroit Lions) vs. Le'Veon Bell (Pittsburgh Steelers)
Calvin Johnson may be the start of the Lions offense, but Reggie Bush is the engine that makes it go. He's seen his rushing yardage increase in each of the last three games, culminating with last week's 105-yards effort against the Bears. The Steelers defense doesn't come close to resembling a steel curtain these days, allowing over 127 rush yards per game on 4.2 yards per rush. Expect Bush to shine in this matchup.
Steelers rookie RB Le'Veon Bell has been thrust into a difficult situation this year, with the Pittsburgh offense struggling as a whole. Bell has topped out at 93 rushing yards, and that performance came back in Week 7. Since then, he's gained only 155 yards on 51 carries over the last three weeks. I'm not anticipating a breakout effort against the Lions.
Most pass receptions
Harry Douglas (Atlanta Falcons) vs. Vincent Jackson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
Bucs WR Vincent Jackson was held to only three catches in Monday night's win over the Dolphins, but did lead the team with eight pass targets. He's been held to just 10 catches in the last three games since hauling in 10 catches in Tampa Bay's Week 7 loss to the same Falcons he'll face on Sunday. I'm expecting a similarly busy afternoon for the Bucs go-to guy on Sunday.
Harry Douglas has certainly benefited from all of the injuries on the Falcons offense, making 29 catches over the last four games. With that being said, this is still lagging passing attack, and one that will go up against a Bucs secondary that has played some of its best football of the season over the last couple of weeks. Tampa will undoubtedly key on Douglas on Sunday, as he's essentially the best of what's left as far as Falcons receivers go right now.