NFL mid-week line moves: Sharps like Rams on road in Indy

Week 10’s odds are on the move with action forcing sportsbooks to adjust their numbers before the weekend. We talk to Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag about the biggest mid-week line moves and where those odds could end up come Sunday:

Oakland Raiders at New York Giants – Open: -5.5, Move: -7.5


The Raiders were early 5.5-point road underdogs in New York but after their one-sided squash versus Philadelphia, bettors have driven this line past the key number of the touchdown.

“A couple hours after we opened, we got wiseguy play on Giants -5.5, so we moved to current number of -7.5,” says Perry. “Expect us to stay on this number until kickoff with 63 percent of the money on the Raiders.”

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons
– Open: +7, Move: +6


Atlanta isn’t the contender it was last season but Seattle’s unimpressive outings have action on the home underdog, moving this line off a TD and as low as Falcons +6 at some markets.

“Sunday night, we took a sharp play on Falcons +7, so moved to the present number of +6.5,” says Perry. “About 69 percent of money is on Seattle.”

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears – Open: +2.5, Move: +1


Is Jay Cutler in or out? The early money was banking on a return from the Bears No. 1 QB, and it looks like Cutler will be under center after being cleared to play Sunday.

“Earlier today got a sharp play on Chicago +2, so moved to +1.5,” says Perry. “It appears the Bears are in good hands no matter who starts at quarterback. About 75 percent of the cash is on the Lions.”

St. Louis Rams at Indianapolis Colts – Open: +12, Move: +9.5

The Rams bring their feared pass rush to Indianapolis and it appears wiseguys like Jeff Fisher’s squad on the road in Week 10, bumping this spread as many as two points past the key number of 10 with 75 percent of the action on St. Louis.

“St. Louis is a very popular play with sharps,” says Perry. “On Monday, they went from +12 to +10 and on Tuesday made another move in their favor to the current number.”

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers – Open: 56, Move: 59

Sharps haven’t stepped into the fray for this AFC West shootout, but the public is pushing this total as high as three points with 83 percent of wagers on the Over.

“A heavy majority is playing the Over, so on Wednesday we moved from 58 to 59,” says Perry.

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Posted by RLeith35
10 months ago

Sharps have an EDGE, but not enough money to move the line like WISE GUYS or a BETTING SYNDICATE can.
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Posted by J_Crow
10 months ago

Wiseguys are sharps. Two names for the same thing. What you're saying is like saying "boxers are pretty tough, but pugilists are way tougher." http://www.sportingcharts.com/dictionary/sports-betting/wise-guy.aspx http://www.sportingcharts.com/dictionary/sports-betting/sharp.aspx (Personally I prefer the term "sharp" because I don't like the mafioso connotations of the term "wiseguy.")
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Posted by tomnolan
10 months ago

J_Crow excellent definition on what the word Sharps mean. thx
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Posted by lilvietboiduc
10 months ago

Can u ask mike Perry who billy Walters is betting on instead of these lame sharps that u claim.
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Posted by braves5795
10 months ago

sharps only have to be correct at a 60% clip to make a very good ROI. So the actually are wrong 40% of the time.
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Posted by J_Crow
10 months ago

I'm kind of shocked at some of these comments. I'm new to Covers.com and to be honest I expected the regular users to be a little savvier than this. Sharps aren't called sharps because they're "sharper" than you or me, or because they have unbeatable systems or inside info. It's just a name for professional bettors who wager large sums of money on single games, enough money to make the books question their exposure and adjust lines. And the purpose of these weekly updates are not to tell us to side with the sharps; the purpose is simply to give you an idea of which lines may still move -- and in which direction -- and which lines are probably set, so that regardless your chosen side you can employ the best strategy regarding when to place your bet. Never mind the fact that most early sharp action is done with the intention of buying back action on the opposing side once the line moves past a key number, in the hopes of the score falling on the key number and cashing out both ways. Like NYG-Oak this week; the sharps who pumped that one up from 5.5 to 7.5 on early Giant action then turned around and bought the Raiders at 7.5. Ideally, the Giants would win by a TD and Mr. Sharp laughs all the way to the cash window. Of course they are going to be wrong a lot, that's just the way it is (if you can consistently pick winners vs. the spread correctly six times out of ten you should quit your job and move to Vegas today, I'm dead serious) but as long as they have "house money" (no, not that kind of house money -- I mean the kind of money you could buy a house with!) to bet with, they will influence betting lines and you and I can use this to our advantage, if we choose. Knowledge is power.
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Posted by Spitdudes
10 months ago

Great point(s)! You also should consider the overall gambler type/crowd. For every big bettor, there are a hundred nickle and dime players. Nickle and dime minds as well. It's a flotsom and jetsom crew on here usually......goes with the territory.
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Posted by tomnolan
10 months ago

years ago I think there was SHARPS I think now days there is no such thing as sharps. we are all sharps with all the information available to us today. not bragging but I could be a sharp!!
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Posted by DarthHambly
10 months ago

The "sharps" are pretty dull and blunt by now after all their NFL losses this season.
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Top Response

Posted by J_Crow
10 months ago

"I'm kind of shocked at some of these comments. I'm new to Covers.com and to be honest I expected the regular users to be a little savvier than this. Sharps aren't called sharps because they're "sharper" than you or me, or because they have unbeatabl..."