USA Today Sports

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

Click here for Saturday's early games.


UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks (-23.5, 71.5)


Bruins' sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley (13 touchdowns, six interceptions) had his poorest effort of the season against Stanford, passing for a season-low 192 yards and being intercepted twice. The Bruins were unable to run effectively without leading rusher Jordon James (463 yards), who remains questionable with an ankle injury.

Ducks QB Marcus Mariota has gone 265 attempts without throwing an interception to set a Pac-12 record and senior Josh Huff (627 receiving yards) and sophomore Bralon Addison (543) share the team lead with 32 receptions. Sophomore Byron Marshall (team-best 746 rushing yards) has stepped up in the absence of De'Anthony Thomas and recorded four consecutive 100-yard outings.

LINE: The Ducks opened as 21.5-point faves and are now -23.5. The total opened at 70 and is up to 71.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Oregon.
* Road team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* Ducks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks (+34.5, 66)

Fifth-ranked Baylor could easily look past what is expected to be another blowout victory when it travels to Kansas on Saturday, but quarterback Bryce Petty has other ideas. "It's just about a one game at a time kind of mentality,'' Petty said. "To us it doesn't matter where we play or who we play or when we play. It's always about Baylor."

The Jayhawks decided to burn the redshirt of freshman quarterback Montell Cozart during last week's 34-19 loss to Oklahoma as the 6-2, 180-pound star recruit rushed for eight yards on three carries in two series of action. Cozart will likely see more time against Baylor as Weis - who won three Super Bowls as New England Patriots offensive coordinator - tries to resurrect a unit that is averaging a Big 12-worst 18.3 points and ranked 112th among the 123 FBS teams in the nation.

LINE: The Jayhawks opened as 35.5-point home dogs and are now +34.5. The total opened at 66.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing toward the S endzone at 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Jayhawks last five home games.
* Bears are 17-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Missouri Tigers (-2.5, 53.5)

The Gamecocks began the season ranked seventh but have underperformed and are in danger of falling out of the Top 25 if they can't right the ship this week. Backup quarterback Dylan Thompson will get the start in place of Connor Shaw (knee), meaning they're likely to lean on running back Mike Davis, who has recorded six 100-yard rushing games.

The Tigers' first season in the SEC was derailed by injuries, but Missouri didn't miss a beat with redshirt freshman Maty Mauk under center in last week's 36-17 win over Florida. Mauk stepped in for injured senior James Franklin and passed for 295 yards and a touchdown while adding a rushing score to earn SEC Freshman of the Week honors.

LINE: Missouri opened -3 and is now -2.5. The total opened at 52 and is now 53.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
* Over is 8-1 in Gamecocks last nine conference games.
* Tigers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Furman Paladins at LSU Tigers (-45.5)

The Paladins notched a 27-10 victory over Appalachian State last week thanks to a 98-yard interception return for a touchdown by Gary Wilkins – one of five turnovers forced by the Furman defense. Reese Hannon was efficient for the Paladins, completing 13-of-19 passes for 164 yards and a touchdown, while Hank McCloud contributed 89 yards on 13 rushing attempts.

The Tigers have one of the nation’s top wideout duos, with Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry combining for 95 catches, 1,600 yards and 14 receiving touchdowns through eight games. The Tigers’ air attack has somewhat overshadowed sophomore running back Jeremy Hill, who has rushed for at least 100 yards in four of his last six games, although his 4.0 yards per carry against Ole Miss was his worst mark of the season.

LINE:
The Tigers opened as 45.5-point home faves.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s.
TRENDS:

* Paladins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Paladins are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
* Tigers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games following a ATS loss.

Florida Atlantic Owls at Auburn Tigers (-23.5, 51)

Owls coach Carl Pelini was worried about his team keeping fresh during the bye week, so he made sure to have a full-speed scrimmage at a practice. “The most important thing we get out of these days is full-speed work,” Pelini told the Palm Beach Post. “You don't want to go two weeks between playing full speed.”

After last week's win over Texas A&M put Auburn in control of its own destiny in the SEC West, many see the Tigers as potential national-championship contenders. But Auburn coach Gus Malzahn has his team focused on what's ahead, as in this week's game, rather than the big picture. “The only thing we talked about is this week and Florida Atlantic,” Malzahn said at his weekly news conference. “We're not talking about anything else or thinking about anything else. We're going to keep the same approach.”

LINE: The Tigers opened as 25.5-point faves and are now -23.5. The total opened at 51.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Owls are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 5-1 in Tigers last six home games.

Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio State Buckeyes (-14.5, 56.5)

Freshman quarterback Christian Hackenberg has taken the reins of the offense and has the Nittany Lions ranked 26th in the nation in passing (283.7 yards per game), and he'll need to be sharp against an Ohio State defense that doesn't give up much on the ground. It helps that Hackenberg has the Big Ten's top receiver in Allen Robinson, who has 43 receptions for 705 yards and five TDs.

The Buckeyes have been prone to slow starts in their three conference games but have outscored opponents 58-27 in the second half over that span. Ohio State ranks 18th in the nation in total offense (494.6 yards per game) led by quarterback Braxton Miller (831 passing yards, 8 TDs; 335 rushing yards) and has been especially strong on the ground with Carlos Hyde (443 yards, 5 TDs) and Jordan Hall (438 yards, 8 TDs) leading the way.

LINE: The Buckeyes opened as 14-point home faves and are now -14.5. The total opened at 56.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s and wind will blow across the field at 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Ohio State.
* Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last five games overall.

Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs (+7.5, 62)

Bulldgos Davante Adams continues his meteoric rise as one of the nation's top wide receivers. He tied a school record with four touchdown receptions last week and remains the nation’s active career leader in receptions (8.5) and receiving yards per game (106.8). He’ll be up against a San Diego State secondary that allows an average of 280.2 passing yards a game, 15th most in the nation.

The Aztecs have been wildly inconsistent in the fourth quarter over the last month. They blew a nine-point lead with less than three minutes remaining in a loss to Oregon State on Sept. 21, outscored New Mexico State 15-0 in the final quarter of a 10-point win the following week, blew a 21-point lead against Nevada before winning in overtime and then stormed back from a 14-point deficit in their most recent game, a 27-20 victory at Air Force.

LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 8.5-point road faves and are now -7.5. The total opened at 61.5 and is up to 62.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with wind blowing toward the E endzone at 4 mph.
TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Over is 6-1 in Bulldogs last seven games following a bye week.

Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers (+3.5, 56.5)

The Cardinal have excelled under the steady guidance of quarterback Kevin Hogan (62.9 completion rate, 13 touchdowns, five interceptions), who is 11-1 as a starter. Hogan's top target is wide receiver Ty Montgomery (36 catches, 15.7 yards per reception, five TDs) and the junior is also a major threat on special teams as he has returned two kickoffs for scores.

The Beavers, who have played only one home game since Sept. 7, are tied with Missouri for the most interceptions with 14 while cornerback Steven Nelson shares the national lead with five. QB Sean Mannion, who leads the nation in touchdown passes (29) and yards (2,992), faces a defense which is tied for 22nd in the nation with 19 sacks.

LINE: The Beavers opened as 5.5-point home dogs and are now +3.5. The total opened at 55 and is up to 56.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Oregon State.
* Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

If you have any feedback or suggestions for our Editorial Team, please contact us at Editorial

            share   SHARE   rss   RSS FEED   email   EMAIL   print   PRINT
Hide All Responses
avatar

Posted by trickplay
1 year ago

Take Missouri I think they stay on a role...
avatar

Posted by trickplay
1 year ago

avatar

Posted by Gunner10
1 year ago

I am going to go with Baylor -341/2 over Kansas Missouri -21/2 over South Carolina Ohio State -141/2 over Penn State Stanford -31/2 over Oregon State Oregon -231/2 over UCLA.
avatar

Posted by spence_man79
1 year ago

Chalky
avatar

Posted by spence_man79
1 year ago

Chalky
avatar

Posted by auburntigers83
1 year ago

Thanks for the fades!
         1      
You are currently not logged in.
Login | Signup | Help
You must be logged in to post a comment.

Top Response

Posted by auburntigers83
1 year ago

"Thanks for the fades! "