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NASCAR betting: Camping World RV Sales 500 preview

Talladega could be sports betting’s biggest craps shoot. The 2.66-mile superspeedway, known for gigantic wrecks, is nearly impossible to predict, leaving NASCAR oddsmakers to post some tight prices heading into this weekend’s Camping World RV Sales 500.

Favorite

Jimmie Johnson (+700)

Johnson is the favorite strictly because he’s the public’s choice most weeks and is always a threat to finish first each weekend. However, the No. 48 car isn’t among the most consistent rides at Talladega. Johnson owns an average finish of 17.1 at Talladega with two wins and six Top 5s in 23 career starts.

Underdog


Brad Keselowski (+1,500)

Keselowski cashed in as our underdog pick last week, so why not stick with the hot driver. He’s only started nine races at Talladega but has finished first in two of those and owns six Top-10 showings in those outings. Keselowski is outside the Chase but is making one strong case for the 2014 season.

Long shot

David Ragan (+4,000)

Ragan is another driver that doesn’t have many notches on his belt at Talladega but has impressed in his limited appearances on the superspeedway. He’s won once, finished inside the Top 5 four times and placed within the Top 10 in six of his 13 career races at Talladega. That victory came earlier this season at the Aaron’s 499 back in May. Ragan has finished first, fourth and seventh in his last three trips to Lincoln, Alabama.

Key stat: According to ESPN, “The Big One” has plagued five of the last seven races at Talladega, with at least 11 cars getting caught up in those infamous wrecks. Last year’s fall race featured a 25-car pileup on the final lap of the race.

Odds to win Camping World RV Sales 500 (courtesy of TopBet)


Jimmie Johnson 8-1
Kyle Busch 9-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 10-1
Matt Kenseth 10-1
Jeff Gordon 10-1
Kevin Harvick 10-1
Brad Keselowski 15-1
Clint Bowyer 15-1
Kasey Kahne 15-1
Kurt Busch 15-1
Carl Edwards 18-1
Joey Logano 20-1
Greg Biffle 20-1
Aric Almirola 30-1
Jamie McMurray 20-1
Martin Truex Jr. 25-1
Denny Hamlin 25-1
Ryan Newman 30-1
Jeff Burton 35-1
Danica Patrick 40-1
David Ragan 40-1
Juan Montoya 40-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 40-1
Paul Menard 40-1
Austin Dillon 40-1
Michael Waltrip 40-1
Sam Hornish, Jr. 45-1
David Gilliland 50-1
Trevor Bayne 75-1
Marcos Ambrose 75-1
Dave Blaney 80-1
Casey Mears 80-1
Justin Allgaier 80-1
Field (Any Other Driver) 25-1

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