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UCF at Louisville: What bettors need to know

Central Florida Knights at Louisville Cardinals (-12, 53)

Louisville didn’t silence the critics of its schedule with a difficult home win in its most recent performance, but will attempt to remain among the 14 unbeaten teams in FBS on Friday when it hosts Central Florida. The sixth-ranked Cardinals are coming off a 24-10 victory against Rutgers, one of the two teams they have faced with a winning record. Louisville’s opponents have combined to go 13-23, while none of the six remaining teams left on the schedule are ranked in the Top 25.

Cardinals quarterback Teddy Bridgewater had an off-day by his lofty standards last Thursday, committing two turnovers while leading the offense to its lowest point total of the season. He may not catch much of a break against the Knights, who allow 16.6 points per game – good for the second-best mark in the American Athletic Conference. Central Florida has its own prolific signal-caller in Blake Bortles, who ranks second in the conference behind Bridgewater in passing efficiency (160.4).

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Louisville opened as a 10.5-point fave and is now -12. The total is currently 53.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with partly cloudy skies.

ABOUT CENTRAL FLORIDA (4-1, 1-0 AAC):
While they only have one win against a ranked team in school history, the Knights have established themselves as a quality foe (34-31 win at Penn State, 28-25 home loss against South Carolina). Although Central Florida ranks fourth in the conference in passing offense, wide receivers Breshad Perriman (fourth) and Rannell Hall (eighth) are among the top 10 in receiving yards. Perriman and Hall have combined for five of the team’s six 100-yard receiving efforts, the school’s most since 2006.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (6-0, 2-0): With the Cardinals’ vaunted offense unable to score at least 30 points for the first time this season, the defense collected four interceptions (most in a game since 2000), eight sacks and held Rutgers to 12 yards rushing. Louisville has allowed 12 yards rushing or fewer two times over the last three games and a total of 63 yards on the ground over that same stretch. The Cardinals are yielding an FBS-low 7.3 points and 229.5 total yards per game, good for second in FBS.

TRENDS:

* Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Under is 19-7 in Cardinals last 26 games in October.
* Cardinals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Friday games.
* Under is 5-1 in Knights last six games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Knights (tied for sixth, plus-1.4) and Cardinals (tied for eighth, plus-1.33) each rank in the top 10 in the FBS in turnover margin.

2. Central Florida won its first three road contests for the first time in school history.

3. Louisville WRs DeVante Parker (shoulder) – the team’s top receiver who missed the Rutgers game – and Kai De La Cruz (groin) will be game-time decisions.

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Posted by Macotosdaghost
11 months ago

What bettors need to know is don't follow the betting public! The more the betting public pushes the line up for Louisville the more money Vegas will make. Take UCF in an easy cover!
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Posted by jim8165
11 months ago

The Big East - AAC teams are being overlooked and purposely kept down cause none of the voters with allegiances to other conference want the AAC to succeed. Louisville got a chip on its shoulder the sixe of a boulder after being snubbed in the polls this week. They realize that they need to win games and win them big in order to impress the pollsters. ROLL CARDINALS ROLL The Hammer
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Posted by Gaiter56
11 months ago

It wouldn't have opened at -12 if it was going to be close. Only way this ends up being close is if UCF's D comes to play, but nonetheless, they will lose anyway. lots of 3,4,5 and outs for UCF! Louisville 31 UCF 17...at best
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Posted by sports_Network
11 months ago

what betters really need to know: Louisville hasn't played anyone, their stats are distorted, a calculated opening 6 game schedule, that does not warrant a #6 ranking, give their first six games to any team in the Big Ten and the outcome will be similar to the Cardinals.... Rutgers Temple FIU Kentucky Eastern Kentucky some books are intimidating with -14.5 others have it at -12.5 take Central Florida +14.5 they keep it within reach of an upset
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Top Response

Posted by sports_Network
11 months ago

"what betters really need to know: Louisville hasn't played anyone, their stats are distorted, a calculated opening 6 game schedule, that does not warrant a #6 ranking, give their first six games to any team in the Big Ten and the outcome will be sim..."