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Colts or Chargers? Bloggers debate who will cover

Monday Night Football features the San Diego Chargers playing host to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 6. Oddsmakers have set the Colts as 1-point road favorites.

In order to get an inside look into this matchup, we’ve enlisted the help of those who know these teams the best. Expert NFL bloggers Kyle Rodriguez of Indianapolis blog “The Colts Authority” and John Gennaro from San Diego blog “Bolts From the Blue” strap on the pads and debate which team will not only win, but cover the spread Monday night.

WHY INDIANAPOLIS WILL COVER




Kyle Rodriguez is a senior writer and assistant editor at The Colts Authority. You can follow them on Facebook and Twitter @ColtsAuthority.

Andrew Luck, Andrew Luck, Andrew Luck


Philip Rivers is having his best season since 2009, and is a top-three quarterback in the AFC right now. But Andrew Luck is right with him battling for the title of "Best Quarterback not named Peyton F. Manning." There's a paper-thin margin between the two across just about every advanced statistic, although Rivers does have a slight edge in most. But Luck has two game-winning drives and signature wins over Seattle and San Francisco, and the Colts are a legitimate contender at 4-1. Rivers' started strong, but three interceptions in the Chargers' latest loss to Oakland leaves a sour taste.

Defensive deficiencies

While Rivers has played phenomenally, the Chargers' defense has completely dropped the ball, and is a contender for the worst defense in the league this season. The team has been particularly bad at stopping the pass, and Luck, Reggie Wayne and T.Y. Hilton should be able to attack weak areas of the field with ease. The Colts defense has been significantly better, especially when they absolutely have to be. They've only allowed seven fourth-quarter points all year, the lowest amount in the league, and are currently fifth in third down conversion percentage.

League leader


Robert Mathis currently leads the league in sacks with 9.5, and will match up with either Michael Harris or King Dunlap Monday night (likely Dunlap). Both players are better run blockers than they are pass protectors, and Mathis could find himself with more than a few chances to bring down Rivers. With just eight sacks this season, Rivers has done a good job of staying out of trouble, but Mathis is having the best start to a season that he's ever had.

WHY SAN DIEGO WILL COVER



John Gennaro is the editor-in-chief at Bolts From the Blue. You can follow them on Facebook and Twitter @BFTB_Chargers.


Patterns

The San Diego Chargers have followed every loss with a win this season, and have upset the Eagles and the Cowboys in doing so. It would only make sense that they would follow up their disappointing loss to the Raiders with an upset over the Colts.

Philip Rivers


The Colts defense is good, but not dominant. The way the Chargers have won games this season has been with Rivers. He puts up points early, and puts together long drives in the second half to keep the opposing offense off of the field and out of rhythm. There's no reason why he couldn't do the same against the Colts on Monday night.

It's the Chargers!

The Chargers tend to win when they're expected to lose, and they tend to lose when they're expected to win. They're expected to lose this game, which means they stand a good chance of winning.

Also, and I know this doesn't make any sense, the Chargers have a freakishly good history against the Colts. I know Peyton Manning isn't there anymore and the team is almost entirely different from what they were the last time they faced San Diego, but these meaningless "historical records against each other" stats have a weird tendency of being accurate when predicting what will happen in Chargers games.

Join the debate. Who covers the spread Monday night: Colts or Chargers?

If you have any feedback or suggestions for our Editorial Team, please contact us at Editorial

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Posted by HogPicker
1 year ago

Indy is the better team on paper especially after impressive wins over SF and SEA but weird things happen on MNF. With all the overs this wknd, I think its time for an under.
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Posted by pokradik
1 year ago

I will BE Vegas tonight on a prime time fk job..... CHARGERS!!!!!!!!!!! CHARGERS!!!!!!!!!!! CHARGERS!!!!!!!!!!! OH & LETS NOT FORGET THE ZEBRAS
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Posted by pokradik
1 year ago

I will BE Vegas tonight on a prime time fk job..... CHARGERS!!!!!!!!!!! CHARGERS!!!!!!!!!!! CHARGERS!!!!!!!!!!! OH & LETS NOT FORGET THE ZEBRAS
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Posted by pokradik
1 year ago

I will BE Vegas tonight on a prime time fk job..... CHARGERS!!!!!!!!!!! CHARGERS!!!!!!!!!!! CHARGERS!!!!!!!!!!! OH & LETS NOT FORGET THE ZEBRAS
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Posted by Little-Giant
1 year ago

Indianapolis Colts fans have watched the Chargers beat the Colts down in San Diego many times, because Rivers looks like Marino when he plays the Colts. My theory is its actually the cover 2 defense that Rivers likes to face, and not necessarily the Colts--and the Colts don't play that way anymore. Rivers is not the best decision maker at QB--if you consistently rush 4 he gains comfort, is able to sense when he needs to throw and he'll beat you in his own house. If the Colts defense is to be successful they need to bring pressure--and make Rivers use his brain--he (like many NFL QBs) will make ridiculous mistakes if given the opportunity. I'm not picking this game because there is too much contrary info here. San Diego is a home dog, and a hungry one. The Colts just got done playing Seattle and next week they host the Broncos--so this is a potential let down spot. They Colts have been playing very competitive football w/ plenty of emotion and energy. One of the things I love about Luck is he brings a steady burn of toughness--he won't let the Colts lay an egg. A final reason to stay away from this one is the Referees can be a great equalizer for the home dog.
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Posted by tomnolan
1 year ago

heylou54 thanks for telling me when I should bet heavy or not and if I had a bad week or not. stop giving advise on how much to play on tonight's game.
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Posted by diondimucci
1 year ago

chargers looking ahead to their showdown with the jacksonville jaguars in week 7. expect minimal effort from philip shivers tonight.
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Posted by heylou54
1 year ago

This is a coin flip game,with Indy's great record there is more reason to bet Indy but Monday night home team I will be betting THE DISCO CHARGERS ! This is not the spot 2 try + get even if you had a bad Sunday SD 27-Indy 23
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Posted by rkapur105
1 year ago

So, basically, the Chargers blogger has no real reason to bet on the Chargers, other than "they might" - sweet.
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Posted by Down4whatever
1 year ago

After that beating last week Chargers will win against the colts. Chargers + over ...put the savings on it.
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Posted by Frank the Bank
1 year ago

Chargers blow and Indy doesn't...bottomline Indy wins
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Top Response

Posted by tomnolan
1 year ago

"heylou54 thanks for telling me when I should bet heavy or not and if I had a bad week or not. stop giving advise on how much to play on tonight's game."