USA Today Sports

Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 Team: Baylor Bears (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)


I've said it before, and I'll make no apologies for saying it again. The Bears might just be the best team in the country. I mean, outside of Oregon, what other team could put up 70 points three weeks in a row while holding opponents to an average of 16.3 points?

This week's 73-42 thrashing of West Virginia should put the rest of the country on notice: This Baylor team is the real deal. West Virginia might not be a top 25 team, but it did upset the Oklahoma State Cowboys and its defense limited the Sooners to just 16 points in a losing effort in Oklahoma.

Most overrated Top 25 Team: South Carolina Gamecocks (4-1 SU, 1-4 ATS)

The Gamecocks have not looked good, failing to cover the spread in each of their last four games. Making matters worse for the underachieving squad is that their star DE Jadeveon Clowney sat out last week with what ESPN's Tim Koen referred to as a "minor or non-existant injury."

Coach Steve Spurrier was not at all happy about Clowney's decision not to play and he's criticized his player publicly, saying "If Clowney wants to play, we will welcome him to come play for the team if he wants. But if he doesn't want to play, he doesn't have to play. Simple as that."

Unranked team that should be ranked: Auburn Tigers (4-1 SU, 4-0 SU)

The Tigers are 4-1, with their only loss coming to LSU. Last week's win over Ole Miss puts them at 2-1 in the SEC and with an easy game upcoming, you can expect to see them in the Top 25 next week. Of course, life in the SEC isn't easy. And with games against Texas A&M and Alabama still to come, the party might not last long.

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