Where the action is: Sharp Monday money on Saints, Under
Monday Night Football is a battle of unbeaten teams when the Miami Dolphins visit the New Orleans Saints. We talk to sportsbooks about the action coming in, the betting trends and where the odds could land before kickoff:
Miami Dolphins at New Orleans Saints – Open: -6, Move: -7.5
The Saints opened below the key number of a touchdown but were quickly bet up to -7 with sharp and public money pushing the spread. Books thought the adjustment to a touchdown would tempt Miami backers, however, with action coming in strong on the Saints and many parlays connected to the home side, books had no choice but to move again and add the half-point hook.
“With nearly 70 percent of the action on the Saints, combined with quite a bit of parlay liability, we had to go to 7.5 in hopes of limiting anymore liability on the Saints,” Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag tells Covers. “Since going to 7.5, action has been dead even, so I doubt we'll move off this number at any point today.”
The total for the Monday night game hit the board at 48 points and immediately took money on the Over. As Sunday’s games played out, parlays tied into the Over Monday, forcing books to pump up the number to 49.5. However, since that adjustment, sharp action has bought back on the total.
“Early this morning we booked very sharp action under that number,” says Stewart. “It's action sharp enough that we have to respect the bet and make a move, so we're back to 49 and I believe we will be dealing this number for most of the day. Roughly 65 percent of the action is on the Over.”