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Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

Check out our college football Top 25 cheat sheet for Saturday's afternoon action.

Mississippi Rebels at Alabama Crimson Tide (-14, 55)


The Rebels are after their first 4-0 start since 1970, but haven't beaten Alabama since 2003 and have only one victory in 25 trips to Tuscaloosa, Ala. he Rebels also have an explosive star in running back Jeff Scott, who set career highs in rushing yards (164) and all-purpose yards (243) against Texas.

The Crimson Tide's offense has been inconsistent and struggled to get going in last week's win over Colorado State. The defense has not been as dominant as in years past, but Vinnie Sunseri has a pair of interception returns for touchdowns to contribute to five non-offensive touchdowns in three games.

LINE: Alabama opened -16.5 and has moved to -14. Total movef from 56.5 to 55.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, clear skies, winds east 4 mph.
TRENDS:

* Rebels are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.

Arizona Wildcats at Washington Huskies (-10, 62)

While the defense has spearheaded the strong start, the Wildcats are averaging 43.7 points behind a rushing attack – led by junior Ka’Deem Carey – that ranks fifth nationally with 322.3 yards per game. Carey has 299 yards despite missing the opener due to a suspension and has rushed for 100 or more yards in each of his last six games.

The No. 20 Huskies have topped 500 total yards in each of their first three games. Junior middle linebacker and defensive leader John Timu (18 tackles) is back after missing a game with a shoulder injury and still hasn’t forgotten the painful feeling from when Arizona racked up 277 rushing yards and 533 overall in last season’s meeting.

LINE: Washington opened -7 and moved to -10. Total moved from 63.5 to 62.
WEATHER: Temperatures in low 60s with 100 percent chance of rain, winds SSW 11 mph.
TRENDS:

* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

Texas A&M Aggies at Arkansas Razorbacks (+14, 62)

Texas A&M scored at least 40 points in its first four games for the first time in school history. QB Johnny Manziel has accounted for 15 touchdowns while averaging 370.8 yards of total offense per game and completing 70 percent of his passes.

The Razorbacks are starting the toughest stretch of their schedule with their meeting against Texas A&M, followed by a game at Florida, a home contest against South Carolina and a visit to Alabama. After rushing for 883 yards in its first three games, Arkansas was held to 101 yards against Rutgers.

LINE: Texas A&M opened -14 and is as high as -15. Total moved from 62.5 to 62.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, 74 percent chance of thunderstorms, winds south 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
* Razorbacks are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 home games.
* Under is 6-2 in Aggies last eight road games.

Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats (+12, 47)

Tyler Murphy, a junior, was the choice for the Gators after junior Jeff Driskel suffered a season-ending broken right leg during the first quarter of last week’s league opener against Tennessee. Murphy finished with 218 total yards while running for one touchdown and passing for another in the 31-17 victory, good enough to earn another shot against the Wildcats.

Kentucky also lost starting quarterback Maxwell Smith to a right shoulder injury during its most recent game, but he was back at practice this week and the Wildcats are anticipating he'll be in the starting lineup for their conference opener against the Gators.

LINE: Florida opened -14 and moved to -12. Total moved from 45.5 to 47.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, partly cloudy skies, winds SW 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings in Kentucky.

Wisconsin Badgers at Ohio State Buckeyes (-6, 55.5)

Wisconsin RB Melvin Gordon – the conference’s Offensive Co-Player of the Week – leads the nation with 624 yards on the ground while his seven rushing touchdowns rank third in the country. He is joined by senior running back James White – who is the FBS' active career leader in rushing yards (3,013).

Although backup Kenny Guiton has thrown for a school-record 12 touchdowns over the past three weeks in place of QB Braxton Miller (sprained left MCL), coach Urban Meyer will likely turn back to his regular starter.  Gordon led the Buckeyes to an average of 64 points in his two starts.

LINE: OSU opened -9.5 and moved to -6. Total moved from 54 to 55.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures in low 70s, clear skies, winds SSE 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.
* Underdog is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings.

Stanford Cardinal at Washington State Cougars (+9.5, 47.5)

The Cardinal will be without star safety Ed Reynolds for the first half, a result of a hit to the helmet last week. Stanford enters the game winners of 11 straight, the second-longest streak in the nation. Stanford G David Yankey will miss the game because of an unspecified "family situation".

The Cougars, ranked 10th in the nation in total defense, have won three straight for the first time since 2006 and are allowing 12 points per contest. Leach's offense still remains formidable as quarterback Connor Halliday has already thrown for more than 300 yards three times.

LINE: Stanford has remained steady at -9.5. Total moved from 48 to 47.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 50s, 100 percent chance of rain, winds SSW 11 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.
* Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

California Golden Bears at Oregon Ducks (-36, 84)


Golden Bears freshman quarterback Jared Goff leads the nation in passing at 435.3 yards per game, and he’ll need another strong effort to keep pace with the explosive Ducks. Cal has yet to hold an opponent to less than 30 points and ranks 119th among the 123 FBS teams in points allowed per game at 42.

The Ducks are holding opponents to an average of nine points and are ranked second in the country in turnover margin at plus-2.3.  Oregon has outscored its opponents 184-27 and has won four straight in the series.

LINE: Oregon opened -34.5 and moved to -36. Total moved from 84.5 to 84.
WEATHER: Temperatues in the mid 60s, 100 percent chance of rain, winds SSW 12 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Oregon.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Fresno State Bulldogs at Hawaii Warriors (+18.5, 58.5)


After snapping a seven-game losing streak against Boise State last week, No. 23 Fresno State looks to avoid a letdown. QB Derek Carr has been nearly unstoppable in the Bulldogs’ up-tempo offense, and sophomore Davante Adams has caught a touchdown pass in 11 straight games.

Hawaii starting quarterback Taylor Graham suffered an injury to his left (non-throwing) shoulder in the first half of last week’s 31-9 loss at Nevada, and is listed as day-to-day. The Rainbow Warriors used three quarterbacks after Graham left the game, and they combined to commit six turnovers, including four interceptions.

LINE: FSU has been steady at -18.5. The total moved from 58 to 58.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, 30 percent chance of rain, winds NNE 9 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Hawaii.
* Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Hawaii.
* Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.

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Posted by madulamaximus
11 months ago

Arkansas is a running team....they will fall behind and get throttled. In college...tempo is big...running teams succeed vs teams who have trouble with the run. But even with a mediocre run defense...you can get the win if there is enough scoring when givin the opportunity.
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Top Response

Posted by madulamaximus
11 months ago

"Arkansas is a running team....they will fall behind and get throttled. In college...tempo is big...running teams succeed vs teams who have trouble with the run. But even with a mediocre run defense...you can get the win if there is enough scoring whe..."