NFL Prop Shop: Week 3's best player prop bets
Don’t limit your NFL wagering to just sides and totals. Covers Expert Sean Murphy opens the doors to the NFL Prop Shop, giving you his favorite player prop picks for Week 3.
Most passing yards
Matt Schaub (Houston Texans) vs. Joe Flacco (Baltimore Ravens)
Let's try this again, shall we? We missed with Joe Flacco last week as he was out-gunned (I use that term loosely) by Browns QB Brandon Weeden.
The critics of Flacco and the Ravens’ passing game have come out in full force this week. I suggest that they relax. It's still far too early for the Ravens or Flacco to push the panic button.
While most expect to see the Ravens lean heavily on their ground game against a vaunted Texans defense, I believe we'll see quite the opposite. If you're going to beat the Texans, you're going to need to go over the top, and I'm confident we'll see plenty of Flacco to Torrey Smith hook-ups Sunday afternoon.
Andrew Luck (Indianapolis Colts) vs. Colin Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers)
With the Colts acquiring Trent Richardson in a shocking deal with the Browns, most are counting on them to run the football early and often against the 49ers Sunday.
Keep in mind, it's going to take some time for Richardson to get acclimated with the Colts playbook and despite all the hoopla, we're still talking about a guy that's averaging just 3.5 yards per rush over the course of his career.
I think we'll see Indianapolis attack the San Francisco defense predominantly through the air. Andrew Luck had a huge first half against Miami but struggled down the stretch. He's a fiery competitor and I'm confident he'll make amends this week.
This is the game where I see Colin Kaepernick exploding on the ground. The 49ers’ aerial attack is still a work in progress with WR Michael Crabtree sidelined. San Francisco will score in bunches, but Kaepernick won't put up gaudy passing numbers.
Most rushing yards
James Starks (Green Bay Packers) vs. Giovanni Bernard (Cincinnati Bengals)
Giovanni Bernard was the breakout star Monday night and that's opened up some value for us fading him in this prop matchup Sunday afternoon.
Bernard accounted for both of the Bengals’ touchdowns against the Steelers, but he still wasn't the team's leading rusher, only carrying the ball eight times for 38 yards. He'll once again split carries with BenJarvus Green-Ellis Sunday.
With Eddie Lacy banged up, the bulk of the Packers’ carries will be handed to James Starks. He ran for 132 yards in last week's rout of the Redskins and knows that this is his opportunity to grab the reins as the Packers feature back.
Most pass receptions
Nate Burleson (Detroit Lions) vs. Pierre Garcon (Washington Redskins)
The Redskins offense has really stumbled through the first two weeks but I'm anticipating a breakout performance against Detroit.
With RGIII still struggling to get into form as far as running the football goes, Pierre Garcon should be the focal point of the offense against a beatable Lions secondary.
Nate Burleson has 13 catches through two games this season but I don't expect him to keep up that pace. The Redskins defense won't be able to take away Calvin Johnson, but I do expect them to keep the veteran Burleson under wraps.