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Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

Check out quick-hitting betting notes for Saturday's evening college football Week 4 action:

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida State Seminoles
(-39.5)


The Wildcats have wins in three straight games to start a season for the first time since 2010 and have won 10 of their past 11 contests. Bethune-Cookman's defense has been stout, holding opponents to less than 10 points per game and has also managed three defensive touchdowns. Senior linebacker Jarkevis Fields leads the team with 23 tackles and had a game-high six in the win over Florida International.

The Seminoles have been firing on all cylinders on offense, passing the century mark in points through their first two games for the second consecutive season, with nine different players scoring touchdowns. Against Nevada, Florida State compiled 617 yards and 59 unanswered points, coasting to a 62-7 victory. Junior Nick O'Leary has hauled in three touchdown catches, trailing only Indiana's Ted Bolser among FBS tight ends.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 43 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: Florida State opened as a 40-point home fave but is currently -39.5
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last four games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
* Over is 3-0-1 in FSU's last four games after totaling more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Seminoles last four games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-6.5, 52.5)

The 23rd-ranked Sun Devils emerged with a 32-30 victory over Wisconsin last week when the Badgers mismanaged the clock and failed to get off a last-second field goal. Arizona State was fortunate to defeat Wisconsin, but a matchup with No. 5 Stanford should provide another stiff test in what easily could be a Pac-12 title game preview.

The Cardinal have three matchups with ranked teams in the next five weeks, so they will need senior running back Tyler Gaffney (236 yards, three touchdowns in 2013) to be on top of his game. Of course, they won’t be getting any sympathy cards from the Sun Devils, who are in the midst of a six-game stretch that includes four ranked opponents. Arizona State has a standout running back of its own, as Marion Grice rushed for four touchdowns in the bizarre win over Wisconsin.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 40 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Stanford opened as a 7-point home fave but is now  -6.5. The total opened at 49.5 and is up to 52.5.
TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Stanford.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Colorado State Rams at Alabama Crimson Tide (-39, 55)


The Rams are 39 1/2-point underdogs against the Crimson Tide, who have gone 27-3 against nonconference opponents under coach Nick Saban, including 20 straight victories. Rams coach Jim McElwain was Alabama's offensive coordinator from 2008-2011 before leaving for Colorado State last season.

Heisman Trophy candidate AJ McCarron, who had a career-high 334 passing yards and four touchdowns in last week’s win over the Aggies, could be in for a short night on Saturday if the Crimson Tide take control early. The rebuilding Rams, who are 2-11 all-time against SEC opponents, lost their first two games to Colorado and Tulsa before defeating Cal Poly 34-17 last Saturday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 90 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Alabama opened as a 38-point home favorite and is now -39. The total opened at 51 but has been bet up to 55.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0-1 in the Crimson Tide's last five games overall.
* Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
* Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies (-28, 78)

Southern Methodist's visit to old Southwest Conference rival Texas A&M on Saturday could be a high-scoring affair. The ninth-ranked Aggies and the Mustangs have two of the most productive offenses in the country and struggling defenses. But the Mustangs have had little success recently against Texas A&M, going 0-11-1 in their last 12 meeting, including three straight losses since the SWC ended in 1995.

The Aggies — ranked 112 out of 123 FBS teams in total defense (489 yards allowed) and 115th in run defense (260 yards) — allowed 11 plays of 15-plus yards to Alabama. "We're going to have to defend the whole field — vertically and sideline to sideline — because (the Mustangs) are going to stretch us out to make us play in space," Sumlin said Tuesday.

WEATHER:
Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: Texas A&M opened as a 28.5-point favorite and is now -28. The total opened at 79.5 and is down to 78.
TRENDS:

* Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. SEC.
* Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. loss.
* Over is 4-0 in Aggies last four home games.

Savannah State Tigers at Miami Hurricanes (-60)

The Tigers, who have registered only one victory in each of the previous three seasons, won for the first time since defeating Edward Waters 42-35 in October 2012. Savannah State was outgained 425-243 against the Wildcats and has mustered only 573 yards of total offense thus far. The Tigers have been particular woeful on the ground (rushing for a total of 52 yards this season, including no more than 21 in any contest) and holding onto the ball, committing 10 turnovers.

The Hurricanes were far from dominant in their win over the Gators, as they were outgained 413-212 and gave up more than twice as many first downs (22-10). One area on offense Miami has thrived is scoring quickly – all eight of its drives have taken less than three minutes.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies.
LINE: Miami opened as a 59.5-point favorite and is currently -60.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last five games following a bye week.
* Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.
* Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-16.5, 53)


Death Valley has long been a hostile environment for opponents, but the month of September has proven to be every bit as difficult. No. 7 Louisiana State, which hosts Auburn in a battle of two 3-0 SEC teams, is 26-1 over its last 27 home games - but has rolled off a FBS-best 28 consecutive victories in September since a 2006 setback against Saturday’s foe. LSU has blended its usual stout defense with a resurgent offense led by first-year offensive coordinator and former NFL coach Cam Cameron.

Auburn is coming off last Saturday’s dramatic 24-20 home victory over Mississippi State, which snapped its 10-game losing streak within the conference. Auburn will have its hands full in its first game away from home as it tries to end its seven-game road losing streak in a venue in which it has not won since 1999.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with an 83 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: LSU opened as a 16-point fave and is currently -16.5. The total opened at 56 and is now down to 53.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.

Michigan Wolverines at Connecticut Huskies (+18, 50.5)

A week after defeating rival Notre Dame in an emotional affair, No. 14 Michigan needed a goal-line stand in the final seconds to hold off an upset bid from Akron. Following a mass exhalation, the Wolverines travel to Connecticut looking to wrap up the non-conference portion of their schedule unbeaten. Michigan won the only meeting in the series 30-10 in 2010.

For UConn, a nationally televised date with Michigan is truly a step onto the big stage but the timing couldn't be worse. Not only are the Huskies winless but limp into the contest with many questions, especially on the offensive side of the ball. A few years after boasting one of the nation's best rushing attacks, UConn enters next-to-last in the nation at 59 yards per game.

WEATHER:
Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 21 percent chance of rain.
LINE: The line opened at UConn +17.5 and is now +18. The total opened at 52 but has moved down to 50.5.
TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 4-0 in Huskies last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Huskies are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss.

New Mexico State Aggies at UCLA Bruins (-44, 66.5)

After scoring 38 consecutive points to beat Nebraska 41-21 last week, 15th-ranked UCLA returns home Saturday to face winless New Mexico State. The Bruins are 42-point favorites over the Aggies, who have lost their first three games by a 93 combined points.

The Aggies are allowing an average of 47.3 points and scoring 16.3 per game under first-year coach Doug Martin. Bruins sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley entered the Heisman Trophy discussion with his play last week when he threw for 294 yards and three touchdowns and rushed 19 times for 61 yards.

WEATHER:
Temperatures will be in the high-60s and wind will blow toward the north end zone at 6 mph.
LINE: UCLA opened as a 40-point home fave and is currently -44. The total opened at 66 and is up to 66.5.
TRENDS:

* Over is 7-0 in Aggies last seven games overall.
* Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games.
* Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Pac-12.

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