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Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Wisconsin Badgers (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS)

The Badgers suffered their first loss this weekend, but it was not without controversy. By all rights, they should have been able to kick a chip-shot field goal with seconds remaining on the clock in Arizona, but officials appeared to have been confused, failing to spot the ball and letting time expire.

Arizona State won the game by a score of 32-30, but the Pac-12 Conference has conceded that the officials "fell short of the high standard in which Pac-12 games should be managed."

Most overrated Top 25 team: Northwestern Wildcats (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)


The Wildcats have beat up on inferior opponents in the first three weeks, with wins over Syracuse, Cal and Western Michigan. They aren't likely to have much trouble with the Maine Black Bears this weekend, but the October schedule gets a lot more challenging.

With upcoming games against Ohio State, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa, they could be out of the Top 25 in a hurry.

Unranked team that should be ranked: Michigan State Spartans (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS)

There’s no question that the Spartans are a great team defensively, but their lack of scoring prowess hasn't impressed pollsters in the first few weeks.

Connor Cook completed 15-of-22 passes for 202 yards and four touchdowns in a 55-17 win over Youngstown State on the weekend. Michigan State also gained 277 yards on the ground in that game.

We'll see if they can take some of that momentum into South Bend this weekend, they might just be catching Notre Dame at a good time.

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