NFL Prop Shop: Week 2's best player prop bets
The NFL Prop Shop opens its door for Week 2 of the season. Here are the best player prop picks for Sunday's action:
Most passing yards
Brandon Weeden (Cleveland Browns) vs. Joe Flacco (Baltimore Ravens)
We cashed a Joe Flacco passing yardage prop last week, electing to support the Over, and we'll go back to the well with the Ravens QB this week as he matches up against Brandon Weeden.
In last week's analysis I mentioned that I was higher on the Ravens offense than most entering the new season. While things didn't exactly go as planned in Denver, Flacco still bombed away for over 300 yards, and I expect a similar story to unfold this week.
With Josh Gordon sidelined due to suspension, the Browns remain thin at wide receiver. I don't expect them to let Weeden loose against an opportunistic Ravens defense, instead leaning heavily on RB Trent Richardson.
Philip Rivers (San Diego Chargers) vs. Michael Vick (Philadelphia Eagles)
We might as well play this prop until the oddsmakers get caught up with their numbers. It's no secret that Chip Kelly wants his Eagles offense playing fast and that translates into more snaps for Michael Vick, and likely more passing yards as well.
Vick didn't seem to miss injured WR Jeremy Maclin in the least last Monday night and he should find continued success against a good, but not great Chargers secondary.
Philip Rivers turned some heads with a strong performance Monday night, but heading on the road on a short week is a different animal entirely. I'm expecting some regression from the Chargers offense here.
Most rushing yards
Chris Johnson (Tennessee Titans) vs. Arian Foster (Houston Texans)
Much has been made of the Texans’ decision to split carries between Arian Foster and Ben Tate. I'm not sure how long that gameplan will last, however.
Foster showed flashes of brilliance in San Diego Monday and let's face it, only flashes were expected from a guy seeing his first game action after missing the entire preseason. I do expect Foster to play a more prominent role in the Texans offense Sunday.
Chris Johnson is poised for a return to prominence here in 2013, but he faces a tough challenge in an angry Houston defense. I'm not a big fan of the Titans offense, and for good reason if you watched last week's game in Pittsburgh. Johnson will have a fine game, but won't outrush Foster.
Most pass receptions
Jared Cook (St. Louis Rams) vs. Tony Gonzalez (Atlanta Falcons)
Give me the elder statesman in this matchup at the Georgia Dome.
Jared Cook was one of the breakout players of Week 1, coming up with a huge game against the Cardinals. However, he'll find the going a little tougher against the Falcons. We often see players turn in big performances in Week 1 only to regress considerably in Week 2. I see that happening to Cook.
Tony Gonzalez was fairly silent in New Orleans Sunday, outside of an early touchdown catch. Look for Matt Ryan to make a concerted effort to get the ball to his security blanket this week. The Falcons are at their best when Gonzalez is heavily involved and I expect that to be the case against the Rams.