Where the action is: Thursday's NCAAF line moves
College football bettors can’t wait to get their hands on the opening night odds Thursday night, forcing books to make some adjustments to those spreads. We look at the biggest moves on the board for Thursday’s first slate of NCAAF action.
North Carolina Tar Heels at South Carolina Gamecocks – Open: -11, Move: -13.5
This border war has drawn a ton of action on Steve Spurrier’s Gamecocks, pushing South Carolina as many as 2.5 points at some books. According to Sportsbook.com, 75 percent of the money is on the Gamecocks Thursday.
“Unless we see a sharp group take the points, I can only see this game climbing all the way to -14,” says Peter Childs of Sportsbook.com.Liberty Flames at Kent State Golden Flashes – Open: -14, Move: -19.5
Only a handful of books open these FCS-versus-FBS odds early, allowing sharps to make major moves and significantly push these spreads. The Golden Flashes have had as many as 5.5 points tacked on to this line since post.Tulsa Golden Hurricanes at Bowling Green Falcons – Open: -2.5, Move: -4.5
Action on the Falcons has pushed this spread past the key number of -3 and is trending into -5 territory at some books. The total for this Week 1 matchup has also moved, climbing from 48.5 to 50 points.
Covers Experts’ Doc’s Sports pointed out some key player losses for the Falcons, and believes Bowling Green could be overvalued, going against the current betting pattern.
“Defensive tackle Chris Jones (12.5 sacks) and linebacker Dwayne Woods graduated,” says Doc’s Sports. “On the other side of the ball, running back Anthon Samuel transferred to Florida International and offensive lineman Fahn Cooper also left in unexpected fashion.”USC Trojans at Hawaii Warriors – Open: +21, Move: +24
The Trojans don’t have the same hype heading into the schedule as years past but bettors are loving USC in this Week 1 trip to the islands.
Southern Cal has jumped from one key spread to another, with 66 percent of Covers Consensus giving the points. The total is also on the rise, moving from 52.5 to 54. Even that seems low to one Las Vegas oddsmaker.
“They should win big with their bench on the field,” Peter Korner, founder of The Sports Club told Covers
earlier this week. “There will be plenty of scoring. We had the total much higher at 58.”